Other European Leagues · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8873dcd1abb578210893c06a049e7afc4b37c80078400430f1226403e985931b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 64c | 9,047$5,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,776.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 6,765$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 5,982$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.87 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 44c | 5,062$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.87 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 58c | 4,301$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 3,930$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.9 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes | 63c | 3,623$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.21 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 37c | 3,599$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.13 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 38c | 2,413$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.9 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 53c | 1,142$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.69 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 715.33$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.76 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…8e53backed Yes | 31c | 666$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.18 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 41c | 509.95$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…b863backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 480.68$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.6 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 12c | 360$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Yes | 63c | 260.32$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…465dbacked Yes | 21c | 202$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 123.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 45c | 111.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 38c | 89.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 64c | 85.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 37c | 83.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 66c | 76.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 63c | 75.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…509bbacked No | 79c | 70.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc902…3cd9backed No | 70c | 46.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…b0b1backed Yes | 34c | 44.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 37c | 43.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 37c | 40.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 36c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe3…d0c9backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 59c | 33.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…01fdbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…dc9ebacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 34c | 29.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…9d96backed Yes | 45c | 26.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd051…0781backed Yes | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…9e30backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Yes | 64c | 20.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 0.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)FC Utrecht won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.