Other European Leagues · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5439f2e291c43acea1fc12857472c66bc6b4a92dd145db9877df9a7accbcb39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 11,835$6,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 8,269$4,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,161.59 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 39c | 8,200$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.96 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 61c | 4,094$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.3 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 38c | 2,852$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.78 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 2,444$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.05 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 41c | 1,512$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Over | 9c | 954.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 44c | 912.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 732.6$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.86 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 25c | 608$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…94ccbacked Over | 19c | 573.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…66a6backed Over | 55c | 465.24$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 50c | 446.01$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.97 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 74c | 371.56$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 55c | 312.5$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.65 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…e882backed Over | 46c | 307.37$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 8c | 260$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 56c | 247.63$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.86 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 54c | 231.21$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Over | 46c | 214.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 54c | 212.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Over | 47c | 209.69$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 198.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.61 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 18c | 193.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Over | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 27c | 112.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 59c | 109.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over | 46c | 100.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…fe22backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Under | 17c | 99.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 73c | 92.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 19c | 85.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 44c | 79.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 66c | 71.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 19c | 70.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 59c | 69.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 38c | 52.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 61c | 50.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 46c | 49.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4831…9508backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…a3eebacked Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 70c | 37.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked Over | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 77c | 32.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 48c | 26.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 47c | 26.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc902…3cd9backed Under | 55c | 26.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 39c | 25.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 50c | 20.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 62c | 19.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 80c | 14.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5this page
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 0.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)FC Utrecht won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.