Other European Leagues · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19589669f8055f8f8f58f295018cd274ff53bf6ed43e82483831d32e14fe7185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 8,259$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,939.6 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 7,183$4,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.61 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 48c | 6,346$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.94 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.99 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 43c | 2,000$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.14 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 1,980$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.23 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Over | 60c | 1,951$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 52c | 1,695$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 42c | 1,005$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.22 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 20c | 999.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 53c | 723.07$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 58c | 719.97$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 42c | 692.46$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.86 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 41c | 685.91$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.02 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under | 41c | 658.15$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 32c | 606.25$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 66c | 576.28$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.59 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 57c | 507$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.99 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 59c | 504.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 458.93$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 17c | 435.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…5765backed Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…8e53backed Over | 40c | 296.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 20c | 290$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 59c | 274.58$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 265.72$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.76 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Over | 60c | 229$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 41c | 212.78$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.54 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 40c | 172$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 57c | 162.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 17c | 162.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Under | 42c | 160.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 65c | 152.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.82 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 149.18$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…7af0backed Under | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 41c | 134.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 19c | 133.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 102.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…e4fcbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Over | 55c | 79.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 27c | 78.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 40c | 65.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under | 79c | 58.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 42c | 57.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 58c | 52.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 67c | 46.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 54c | 46.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 42c | 45.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…dc9ebacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 57c | 31.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 29.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 60c | 27.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…cf8dbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 73c | 18.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 76c | 15.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Under | 76c | 15.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5this page
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 0.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)FC Utrecht won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.