Other European Leagues · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0079ad764b0ae09b4bd8e7bcaaefa2d8dfc4c9dc3c256158e3927fb0255ae24e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 20c | 18,714$3,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,890.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9060…790bbacked Over | 9c | 13,000$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 8c | 1,675$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.82 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 56c | 1,625$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.52 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 54c | 1,087$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 4c | 1,007$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.11 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Under | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 79c | 720.28$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 74c | 700$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 25c | 550$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 63c | 466.95$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.91 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 21c | 399.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.77 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Over | 80c | 376.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Over | 67c | 370.5$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 59c | 356.26$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Over | 34c | 315$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Over | 45c | 245$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 66c | 221$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 48c | 214.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 14c | 200.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee43…ae9dbacked Over | 55c | 190.2$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over | 59c | 170.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…7851backed Over | 41c | 150$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 30c | 140.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 10c | 101.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 20c | 101$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…0ff6backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 55c | 91.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 46c | 90.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 52c | 84.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Over | 78c | 64.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 43c | 55.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…a9bbbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 31c | 48.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 46c | 43.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.23 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 30c | 38.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 80c | 37.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…d972backed Over | 76c | 31.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7db1…2941backed Over | 68c | 29.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d2…22dcbacked Over | 79c | 27.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Under | 55c | 27.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 58c | 25.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…b0b1backed Over | 62c | 25.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1f…8325backed Over | 67c | 22.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 58c | 22.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…7022backed Over | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5401…c03dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Under | 65c | 17.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over | 73c | 17.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 0.5this page
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5)FC Utrecht won
- Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)FC Utrecht won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-1.5)AFC Ajax won
- Spread: FC Utrecht (-2.5)AFC Ajax won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.