TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd051…0781

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.19
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.12
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$25.4
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$5
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.45
Denmark vs. Ukraine: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.46
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.82
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.33
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$210
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$14.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.