Premier League · resolved market
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37204c292accfa272cf6d913eace3d611369dfb2c054522beeeff98db6647b1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 4,553$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.05 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 53c | 3,349$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.08 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed No | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 51c | 1,651$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.99 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 39c | 1,535$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.79 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 61c | 1,284$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.23 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 924.08$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.96 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f67…a1d7backed Yes | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 46c | 658.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.44 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 54c | 649.97$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.98 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked No | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 585.45$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.36 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked No | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 39c | 521.65$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.77 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 504.12$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.73 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 44c | 473.69$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.26 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked No | 39c | 470.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.68 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 57c | 429.29$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.59 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed No | 12c | 419.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 60c | 381.66$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.66 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 40c | 347.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 59c | 306.5$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed No | 41c | 302.61$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed No | 40c | 300.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 60c | 274.78$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.91 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Yes | 65c | 272.31$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.31 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Yes | 61c | 264.03$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 60c | 260.41$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 41c | 241.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 10c | 240.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed No | 43c | 234.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 60c | 225.31$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 59c | 224.38$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.37 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…a565backed Yes | 61c | 218.18$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 60c | 214.75$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…6eadbacked No | 44c | 210.89$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Yes | 61c | 191$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed Yes | 60c | 166.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed No | 13c | 166$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c9…e02fbacked Yes | 63c | 163.49$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 29c | 163.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…f481backed Yes | 60c | 163.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.81 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked No | 12c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…7eeabacked Yes | 65c | 153.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 71c | 138$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…4683backed No | 10c | 133.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361f…5edabacked Yes | 48c | 125.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Yes | 55c | 124.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed No | 42c | 116.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…3f3fbacked Yes | 61c | 108.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 57c | 107.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 228 | 32.9%75 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c103backed Yes | 64c | 101.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 53c | 94.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…310ebacked Yes | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…c6cebacked No | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 59c | 84.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…958dbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 79.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 32c | 74.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 58c | 74.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked No | 43c | 66.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed No | 50c | 61.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 39c | 56.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1659…492ebacked Yes | 61c | 55.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac19…c3ffbacked Yes | 61c | 55.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…879fbacked No | 42c | 55.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe402…4243backed Yes | 53c | 52.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…9588backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 80c | 47.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.