Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb506d0b9875cf0a4162f6676e94a7069a981b4e06c42a906fd38e50cde348544

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $133,422
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $172,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,422 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over	65c	15,108$9,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,295.84	543	40.5%220 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f16…5fe7backed Under	39c	10,153$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	36c	7,603$2,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,711.59	850	48.4%411 W · 439 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	35c	7,428$2,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,624.24	886	35.8%317 W · 569 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	65c	6,175$4,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,155.78	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Over	60c	6,091$3,655 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,436.47	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	35c	4,463$1,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,570.02	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	45c	4,125$1,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,856.51	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Under	36c	3,930$1,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,414.98	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over	64c	3,913$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,412.71	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57b4…7589backed Over	65c	3,799$2,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,329.68	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under	36c	1,999$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.54	152	55.9%85 W · 67 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	50c	1,816$908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$908.25	768	42.6%327 W · 441 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	37c	1,700$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.33	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa2…dc0abacked Over	64c	1,552$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.84	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	37c	1,336$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.86	592	47.6%282 W · 310 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceb1…6d99backed Over	61c	1,304$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$508.48	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	26cpaid	-79.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over	65c	1,231$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.77	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	35c	1,100$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389	557	51.5%287 W · 270 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0a…c1d9backed Under	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	34c	1,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over	55c	999.94$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.97	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over	63c	947.62$597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.62	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over	56c	892.86$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.86	141	38.3%54 W · 87 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over	63c	842.49$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.2	220	49.1%108 W · 112 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked Under	46c	827.07$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.45	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under	2c	824.83$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.83	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+99.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	54c	650$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Under	2c	510.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under	50c	500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	93	3.2%3 W · 90 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde6b…fae0backed Under	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-27%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	37c	496.44$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.98	335	51.3%172 W · 163 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Under	45c	476$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.2	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	50cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under	27c	443.98$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.3	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Over	63c	376.02$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.13	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over	56c	373.21$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.21	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over	78c	367.05$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.99	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+115%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over	71c	323.31$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.31	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over	60c	314.98$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.44	114	49.1%56 W · 58 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over	56c	303.27$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.44	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	30c	301.4$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.9	721	42.7%308 W · 413 L	+15.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	37c	286.65$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.27	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over	61c	272.3$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.2	212	50%106 W · 106 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1025…f5bdbacked Over	54c	272.22$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.22	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	39c	266.99$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.41	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	13c	266.31$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.09	773	36.4%281 W · 492 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b2…34b5backed Over	56c	255.01$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.98	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Under	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	92	35.9%33 W · 59 L	-7.7wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over	68c	226.25$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.4	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-29%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	192	44.8%86 W · 106 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	184	49.5%91 W · 93 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Under	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	26c	197.29$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	578	33%191 W · 387 L	-29.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under	20c	196$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.2	106	34%36 W · 70 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Under	46c	195.65$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44e6…24f3backed Under	26c	189.35$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.23	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under	35c	188.98$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.14	48	45.8%22 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under	38c	186.18$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.75	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+2.4wins	+0.27per pick	62cpaid	+44.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Under	38c	183.21$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.43	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under	42c	182.4$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.92	107	51.4%55 W · 52 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	27c	175$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.96	132	50.8%67 W · 65 L	+8.0wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b3e…4d47backed Over	69c	170$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.4	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6622…25d5backed Under	38c	165.06$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.72	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over	63c	158.73$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.73	155	60%93 W · 62 L	-10.7wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under	38c	158.12$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.68	114	37.7%43 W · 71 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	6c	158$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	413	43.3%179 W · 234 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	22	86.4%19 W · 3 L	+3.7wins	+0.17per pick	70cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e8a…acc5backed Over	64c	155.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.11	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca7…94ccbacked Over	55c	155.47$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.04	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+45.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over	65c	153.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.85	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under	36c	146.71$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.55	396	51.5%204 W · 192 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over	62c	145.16$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.16	13	84.6%11 W · 2 L	+3.1wins	+0.24per pick	61cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Under	21c	143.57$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.66	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Over	68c	135.25$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.33	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+46%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over	58c	127.29$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.46	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over	64c	126.98$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.71	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under	26c	123.75$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.18	43	30.2%13 W · 30 L	-5.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over	56c	121.43$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.43	87	59.8%52 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71db…705abacked Over	73c	111.62$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.14	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under	37c	107.5$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.77	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	59c	104.3$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.09	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+21.4wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under	27c	104$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.86	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over	55c	94.55$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.55	79	31.6%25 W · 54 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over	63c	87.92$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.53	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under	43c	86.34$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.95	226	45.6%103 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over	61c	81.56$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.81	99	57.6%57 W · 42 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b38…52c8backed Over	74c	80.01$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.13	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	53c	79.99$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.59	556	54.9%305 W · 251 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d3…60b0backed Over	63c	77.57$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.7	16	81.3%13 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	69cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over	65c	77.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.01	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over	65c	76.92$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.92	63	54%34 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3704…5487backed Under	45c	76.87$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.59	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Over	65c	76.62$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.82	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under	37c	71.84$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.63	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a98…3f93backed Over	56c	71.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.43	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x218d…83f8backed Under	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.5wins	-0.27per pick	50cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5this page
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event