Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4311024c56a5d98b7161ac6ae878f5fd3f2402de8a74409394f357bfbe1279f3

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Nottingham Forest FCof Manchester United FC, Nottingham Forest FC
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $59,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $64,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,159 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed Manchester United FC	38c	18,579$7,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,059.97	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nottingham Forest FC	61c	16,720$10,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,568.42	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Manchester United FC	40c	8,347$3,341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,340.62	886	35.8%317 W · 569 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Nottingham Forest FC	64c	2,349$1,503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$845.6	90	61.1%55 W · 35 L	+10.8wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nottingham Forest FC	62c	2,167$1,345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$821.66	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Nottingham Forest FC	62c	1,757$1,087 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$669.86	592	47.6%282 W · 310 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca07…6269backed Manchester United FC	36c	1,742$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$625.85	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-5.5wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Nottingham Forest FC	58c	1,739$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.11	240	47.5%114 W · 126 L	+8.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Nottingham Forest FC	64c	1,633$1,052 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.72	220	49.1%108 W · 112 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Nottingham Forest FC	62c	1,481$923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.97	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Manchester United FC	46c	1,083$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.86	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nottingham Forest FC	62c	1,030$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.28	2,550	47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Manchester United FC	36c	1,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Manchester United FC	36c	1,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-53%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Nottingham Forest FC	56c	999.73$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.88	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Manchester United FC	47c	957.55$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$447.86	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Nottingham Forest FC	48c	815.02$391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.81	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Nottingham Forest FC	63c	793.65$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.65	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Nottingham Forest FC	64c	718$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.48	107	65.4%70 W · 37 L	+5.3wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Manchester United FC	38c	678.76$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.93	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-3.3wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Manchester United FC	45c	656.42$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.39	121	39.7%48 W · 73 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Nottingham Forest FC	48c	614.58$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.58	125	49.6%62 W · 63 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Nottingham Forest FC	55c	612.31$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.44	141	28.4%40 W · 101 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Manchester United FC	17c	562.14$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.5	578	33%191 W · 387 L	-29.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	547.46$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.07	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Nottingham Forest FC	62c	515.44$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.75	221	46.2%102 W · 119 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Nottingham Forest FC	62c	472.17$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.42	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec2…26d7backed Manchester United FC	38c	471.32$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.1	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+72.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Manchester United FC	37c	435.14$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Nottingham Forest FC	67c	415.16$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.68	114	37.7%43 W · 71 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Manchester United FC	37c	405.41$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Nottingham Forest FC	62c	400$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152	557	51.5%287 W · 270 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Manchester United FC	61c	361.18$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.35	721	42.7%308 W · 413 L	+15.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Manchester United FC	63c	344.8$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.23	84	42.9%36 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Manchester United FC	15c	310$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.1	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Manchester United FC	42c	292.61$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.6	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-5.3wins	-0.15per pick	38cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Manchester United FC	37c	261.14$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.62	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-3.0wins	-0.33per pick	44cpaid	-82.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Nottingham Forest FC	65c	248$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.8	758	50%379 W · 379 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Manchester United FC	48c	239.27$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.85	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	30cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Manchester United FC	36c	231.85$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.47	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Manchester United FC	28c	221$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.49	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+59.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Manchester United FC	37c	186.97$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.18	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Nottingham Forest FC	53c	185.13$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.01	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+3.5wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+20%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Manchester United FC	35c	183.94$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	79	31.6%25 W · 54 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Manchester United FC	41c	182.93$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	353	47.6%168 W · 185 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Manchester United FC	23c	180.89$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.9	288	24.7%71 W · 217 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Manchester United FC	9c	176.29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.63	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+99.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Nottingham Forest FC	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	65	60%39 W · 26 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Nottingham Forest FC	62c	152.81$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.32	183	58.5%107 W · 76 L	+7.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Nottingham Forest FC	66c	151.52$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.52	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff1…afedbacked Manchester United FC	36c	138.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nottingham Forest FC	42c	136.95$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.92	773	36.4%281 W · 492 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Nottingham Forest FC	64c	128.13$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.13	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a88…4e57backed Nottingham Forest FC	57c	121.92$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.92	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa470…5283backed Manchester United FC	37c	119.54$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.23	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.18per pick	41cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Manchester United FC	46c	112.04$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.54	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Manchester United FC	31c	109.34$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.93	515	16.1%83 W · 432 L	-49.9wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xed35…84fbbacked Nottingham Forest FC	63c	105.34$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.28	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf7…d90fbacked Manchester United FC	38c	105.26$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked Manchester United FC	38c	105.26$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f21…3bcebacked Manchester United FC	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc23f…6c8abacked Manchester United FC	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Manchester United FC	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcff3…2eeebacked Manchester United FC	36c	97.22$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Manchester United FC	45c	88.89$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	85.46$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.62	1,074	45%483 W · 591 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	82$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.66	245	57.6%141 W · 104 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b38…52c8backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	80.01$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.61	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b81…e7a6backed Manchester United FC	54c	79.63$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8395…516cbacked Nottingham Forest FC	63c	79.37$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5362…d242backed Manchester United FC	42c	71.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.24per pick	36cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x151b…a686backed Manchester United FC	44c	68.18$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-57%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57ce…d8e2backed Manchester United FC	37c	67.78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Nottingham Forest FC	65c	64.86$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	212	50.9%108 W · 104 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Manchester United FC	43c	62.88$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.04	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Nottingham Forest FC	62c	60.93$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.85	184	63%116 W · 68 L	+10.0wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0756…38c9backed Manchester United FC	38c	59.05$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.44	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nottingham Forest FC	63c	57.71$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.4	1,409	44.5%627 W · 782 L	-6.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2068…d19bbacked Nottingham Forest FC	56c	53.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.43	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb145…3509backed Manchester United FC	38c	53.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.6wins	+0.32per pick	43cpaid	+88.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed Manchester United FC	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd2…b879backed Manchester United FC	38c	52.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Nottingham Forest FC	56c	51.35$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.59	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Manchester United FC	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Manchester United FC	38c	50$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	99	40.4%40 W · 59 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Nottingham Forest FC	55c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	58cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Nottingham Forest FC	79c	48.78$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.39	204	40.7%83 W · 121 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfa…0093backed Manchester United FC	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Nottingham Forest FC	64c	43.75$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.75	49	40.8%20 W · 29 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b79…4acbbacked Manchester United FC	39c	41.03$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-3.6wins	-0.33per pick	42cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Manchester United FC	37c	40.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	317	46.1%146 W · 171 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee4…a02abacked Nottingham Forest FC	57c	40.35$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.35	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+61.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5fe…1471backed Nottingham Forest FC	53c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.8	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Nottingham Forest FC	64c	39.06$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.06	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce3f…67c9backed Manchester United FC	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Manchester United FC	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	67cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…acdfbacked Manchester United FC	39c	36.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.43	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Manchester United FC	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	378	40.5%153 W · 225 L	-15.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Nottingham Forest FC	68c	35.75$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.6	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Nottingham Forest FC	67c	35.62$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.73	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)this page
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event