World Politics · resolved market
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6ff15a35757a2513027bcbabac619c63cd86c21caa643bbf1f175e053b52c60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 43c | 17,107$7,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,363.91 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 42c | 8,727$3,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,036.13 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…4c9fbacked No | 69c | 7,343$5,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,251.75 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 11c | 4,792$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.43 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked No | 57c | 4,214$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.69 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…2cd1backed No | 50c | 3,774$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.87 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda66…3f38backed Yes | 73c | 3,454$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -6.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7b…5485backed Yes | 73c | 3,002$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.51 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 14c | 2,497$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.15 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,412$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed No | 40c | 2,272$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 7c | 2,006$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.04 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 41c | 2,004$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.93 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.24 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…28bdbacked No | 35c | 1,904$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 58c | 1,500$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.27 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…9a68backed No | 42c | 1,428$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…07ddbacked Yes | 6c | 1,319$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 29c | 1,276$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.66 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…be79backed Yes | 17c | 1,249$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.41 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…eceebacked Yes | 16c | 1,249$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 7c | 1,127$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 40c | 1,115$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.76 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,068$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,047$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 53c | 1,001$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.83 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 923.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d01…1645backed Yes | 15c | 872.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.04 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed Yes | 13c | 855$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 837.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 811.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 53c | 799.99$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.99 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9182…3368backed Yes | 51c | 735.91$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.73 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…0432backed Yes | 43c | 722.78$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 37c | 719.98$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.38 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 24c | 695.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.86 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +14.6wins | +0.34per pick | 24cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9237…1b1ebacked Yes | 23c | 664.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a7…92d3backed Yes | 2c | 602.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 8c | 573.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked No | 41c | 531.58$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.87 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 68c | 517.71$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 473.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 65c | 457.89$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.18 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 14c | 400$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 31c | 387.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.09 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 13c | 386.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked No | 36c | 370$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 27c | 369$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.45 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…4dc6backed Yes | 16c | 358$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…77a3backed Yes | 5c | 350$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed No | 57c | 347.62$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.19 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1308…45c6backed No | 41c | 340.93$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 11c | 335.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 14c | 313.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed No | 38c | 312.8$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.27 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 51c | 312.36$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.71 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 27c | 294$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 17c | 284.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 53c | 283.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.01 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 15c | 270.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…8255backed Yes | 11c | 262.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 63c | 238.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 78c | 233.31$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9826…e7febacked Yes | 62c | 223.86$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 42c | 220.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 15c | 219.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…37c5backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked No | 39c | 200$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 67c | 186.04$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 14c | 183.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 64c | 171.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 75c | 171$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 37c | 164.13$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…56b4backed No | 43c | 160.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…4b09backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…97d2backed No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b84…31b1backed Yes | 16c | 129.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 58c | 124.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +472.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked Yes | 17c | 124$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe804…4007backed Yes | 17c | 111.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 42c | 106$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…217abacked Yes | 13c | 101$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…9d96backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…76bdbacked No | 77c | 98.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea75…1920backed No | 36c | 82.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48bb…2dc2backed Yes | 61c | 81.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed No | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +195.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed No | 40c | 77.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 37c | 76.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 43c | 70.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9428…0d5dbacked Yes | 65c | 61.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…c783backed No | 30c | 58.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…9a0dbacked Yes | 22c | 58.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…c5fcbacked Yes | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa4…2229backed Yes | 66c | 49.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 46c | 46.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…17a6backed Yes | 66c | 45.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?this page
- Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by June 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.