Music · resolved market
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e04757ce6f52829739fa0fe6e2710250863f86f15605e36e2eea350dbb9271e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06fd…c0bebacked Yes | 42c | 4,632$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 45c | 2,554$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.41 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 62c | 1,822$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.41 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 43c | 1,430$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.68 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 60c | 925.26$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.18 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed No | 6c | 854.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +793.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9a…f6e9backed Yes | 38c | 763.6$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 35c | 630.06$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.61 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 4c | 431.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 380$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked No | 53c | 324.92$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.08 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 61c | 293$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.03 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 58c | 276$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d0…003ebacked No | 64c | 264.88$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5610…9092backed No | 48c | 245.31$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1783…5fa2backed Yes | 52c | 245.31$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca83…1df2backed Yes | 53c | 244.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 74c | 215.47$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed Yes | 43c | 209.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 65c | 207$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 55c | 206.88$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed Yes | 66c | 192$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 179.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.79 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…8306backed No | 56c | 161.69$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 59c | 160.81$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…cc03backed No | 59c | 150$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…b90abacked No | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 66c | 141.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 30c | 140$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.24 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 66c | 132.8$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 38c | 126.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 32c | 125.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed No | 39c | 116$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 57c | 111$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 36c | 101.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 14c | 101.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +81%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…b157backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fef…66ecbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2157…923cbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dec…26c4backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac1…896ebacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1767…f209backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…a84fbacked Yes | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e7…c338backed No | 57c | 92.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 43c | 90.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 38c | 85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 57c | 85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…ae85backed Yes | 39c | 81.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…7e36backed Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…93ccbacked No | 16c | 78.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea3…c850backed Yes | 33c | 76.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…cdb7backed Yes | 43c | 76.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab9…e027backed Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabf…afd2backed No | 58c | 66.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…5cb0backed Yes | 36c | 61.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 21c | 55.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 57c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Yes | 53c | 51.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 32c | 50.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…6637backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cd…4694backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304c…b1cabacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bd…72e2backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ed…aa5bbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad5…e33fbacked Yes | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…dacfbacked Yes | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…9d96backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…e3ebbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209a…9a8dbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e36cbacked Yes | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7082backed Yes | 35c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…868cbacked Yes | 62c | 48.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 48c | 46.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 32c | 42.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…77a3backed Yes | 41c | 42.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 51c | 41.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 29c | 41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 67c | 39.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed Yes | 58c | 34.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed No | 56c | 34.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…bff4backed No | 65c | 32.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc301…6760backed Yes | 54c | 30.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…fb8ebacked No | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…19f8backed Yes | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 49c | 23.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Yes | 68c | 22.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…a081backed No | 47c | 21.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?this page
- Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 160k?No won
- Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?Yes won
- Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 140k and 160k?No won
- Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 80k and 100k?No won
- Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 80k?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.