La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4496128c2618395489bdde6a4bb2da1bdaec2b90b5032f5d2ee6e5f666957a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf5a…9861backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 25c | 6,043$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.7 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 5,807$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.24 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…6632backed Yes | 58c | 5,543$3,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 31c | 5,002$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.67 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 4,955$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.04 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 13c | 4,767$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.7 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f28…f002backed Yes | 44c | 4,217$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 67c | 3,130$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.1 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 24c | 3,007$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.04 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 2,838$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.25 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,766$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.2 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 2,627$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.44 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 58c | 2,134$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.36 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 75c | 2,012$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.63 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,901$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.77 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,800$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 29c | 1,775$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.87 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 32c | 1,561$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.53 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked No | 41c | 1,421$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 21c | 1,100$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +284.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 55c | 981$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.52 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…9734backed Yes | 52c | 936.16$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Yes | 56c | 874.36$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…709ebacked Yes | 61c | 825.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f4…26a4backed Yes | 14c | 687.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 15c | 670$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 14c | 606.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…6190backed Yes | 21c | 591.58$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 14c | 567.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 73c | 546.8$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.93 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 59c | 502.51$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.51 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Yes | 48c | 499.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.22 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed Yes | 54c | 481.46$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 62c | 405.29$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.93 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 39c | 399.97$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.88 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…3c65backed Yes | 4c | 363.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2246…3ce3backed Yes | 66c | 356.82$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 63c | 355.66$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.83 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 15c | 330$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…f00abacked Yes | 65c | 325.01$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 13c | 289.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 67c | 278.57$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.65 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…72febacked Yes | 11c | 265.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed No | 37c | 257.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.47 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Yes | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed Yes | 62c | 225.81$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 14c | 212.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf454…8750backed Yes | 58c | 212.54$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 73c | 210.36$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.61 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…80f9backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 10cpaid | +634%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 67cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…0e7dbacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…9478backed Yes | 27c | 198.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 70c | 197.2$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…b427backed Yes | 56c | 195.44$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…4001backed Yes | 11c | 190.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ce…4994backed Yes | 77c | 189.68$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7037…7cc8backed Yes | 66c | 187.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 15c | 185$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…0ababacked Yes | 14c | 178.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…319bbacked Yes | 13c | 176.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 14c | 175.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 40c | 172.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 65c | 172.32$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.44 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked Yes | 59c | 169.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 67c | 157.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…6c6cbacked Yes | 16c | 156.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3302…5397backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 41c | 152.56$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 46c | 152.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ac…2e98backed Yes | 64c | 150.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 149.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 69cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa81backed Yes | 65c | 146.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x956a…c48ebacked Yes | 53c | 142.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Yes | 42c | 138.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…2d2cbacked Yes | 14c | 138.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 14c | 134.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed No | 42c | 129.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 62c | 128.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes | 18c | 121.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eac…525ebacked Yes | 16c | 118.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x651c…bd69backed Yes | 73c | 110$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 18c | 109.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 51c | 108.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes | 67c | 108.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-01?No won
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.