TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$501,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$625,602

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes7c52,433$3,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,435.274,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes7c26,420$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.0290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes3c24,863$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.937424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes7c20,586$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.3350449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes7c7,513$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.3630634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes2c6,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120777.8%6 W · 71 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+70.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Yes4c5,182$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.81520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-73.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes6c5,145$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.721,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes3c5,000$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes0c4,108$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes6c3,968$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes8c3,713$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.0950243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes8c3,621$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.3979133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes6c3,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18016740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes7c2,625$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.292,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes4c2,428$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5640%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes4c2,373$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.851827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes7c2,325$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.755440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd544…4d5ebacked Yes13c1,769$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+88.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes4c1,673$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-64.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes3c1,645$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes3c1,502$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.515034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes4c1,282$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a91…dfc4backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick17cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa694…3f17backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes8c1,160$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.822740.1%91 W · 136 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes6c1,132$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.111736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.222335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes7c999.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.222729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes6c999.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Yes7c995.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.687753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes8c899.03$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.013930.8%12 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8324…57fdbacked Yes3c850$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes7c813.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010416.3%17 W · 87 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a4f…2a61backed Yes7c750$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+115.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes7c700$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.19per pick34cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes6c685.71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf78a…51fabacked Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes8c598.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7821626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes6c545.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2210233.3%34 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes8c536.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0153246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Yes7c527.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.965032%16 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c97…269cbacked Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff72…7db1backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa114…fdadbacked Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes8c472.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406920.3%14 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x148e…a431backed Yes11c436.36$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Yes9c430$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.72343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab6a…e1babacked Yes3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123414.7%5 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes5c360.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.59134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…6c15backed Yes14c360.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes12c341.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.022934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fe…ded6backed Yes5c304.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2123947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+251.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes3c300$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3514738.8%57 W · 90 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes11c290$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.94114.6%6 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes9c280$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.86657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Yes8c259.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204637%17 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Yes10c255$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+74.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…ce88backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Yes10c249.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1783…7180backed Yes8c247.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes9c245.45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9815643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes7c232$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2426550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe43a…a4b7backed Yes9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7ad…6d7ebacked Yes5c216.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bee…588abacked Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc097…720cbacked Yes5c210.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.97333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…d5d3backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1662744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes7c189.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.810039%39 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a0…01fdbacked Yes8c187.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes10c187.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.694131.7%13 W · 28 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5592…278cbacked Yes11c183.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e2…9469backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes13c155.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x956a…c48ebacked Yes13c154.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes9c149.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1912722.8%29 W · 98 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes10c146.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Yes7c135.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes10c130$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0316836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf477…7a3ebacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5acc…b6b4backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ca…2d2cbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-57.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2b…a44cbacked Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7fd…b550backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5938…89b1backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b69…49dabacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1817…5f80backed Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-76%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82b2…bdc4backed Yes11c93.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.652934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.