TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x695d…d5d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST2343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+284.6%+$56.92
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+150%+$30
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+100%+$20
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+70.5%+$21.14
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+161.4%+$64.54
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17.35
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.2
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
LoL: PSG Talon vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.Gbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Celticsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Bullsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+60.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+58.7%+$18.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+257.1%+$51.43
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+244.8%+$48.97
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+354.5%+$70.91
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+164.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ningbo Rockets vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ningbo Rockets vs. Jiangsu Dragonsbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+400%+$80
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.