Euroleague · resolved market
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Zhejiang Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73e535aa2222d0e39d01694e05d317d3b1816a8ebd352409d20a5086b4c674bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinof Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin, Zhejiang Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zhejiang Lions | 62c | 1,375$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.28 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 33c | 1,210$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.68 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.5 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Zhejiang Lions | 12c | 851.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 700$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 338.63$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 53c | 229$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 51c | 193$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 148.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…126abacked Zhejiang Lions | 36c | 138.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 29c | 77.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd962…1d5cbacked Zhejiang Lions | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 73cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 69c | 66.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…d5d3backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Zhejiang Lions | 39c | 40.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.