TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, Invictus Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,605
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,642

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,605 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc57…f5f4backed Invictus Gaming56c1,612$898 inLost-$898.4516050.6%81 W · 79 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Invictus Gaming51c1,422$725 inLost-$725.4514038.6%54 W · 86 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Bilibili Gaming49c1,000$490 inWon+$51085746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Bilibili Gaming45c600$270 inWon+$3301,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Bilibili Gaming43c547.78$236 inWon+$312.231,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ca…3d64backed Invictus Gaming4c509.99$19 inLost-$19.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Bilibili Gaming45c463.02$209 inWon+$254.2922250.5%112 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed Bilibili Gaming49c300$147 inWon+$15321735%76 W · 141 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb861…27ffbacked Bilibili Gaming49c102.04$50 inWon+$52.0413040.8%53 W · 77 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Bilibili Gaming44c99.99$44 inWon+$567951.9%41 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Invictus Gaming55c80$44 inLost-$4421652.3%113 W · 103 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Bilibili Gaming45c80$36 inWon+$441,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Invictus Gaming51c41.41$21 inLost-$21.1227447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Invictus Gaming54c37.04$20 inLost-$2016251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc316…778dbacked Invictus Gaming51c36.12$18 inLost-$18.427154.9%39 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x695d…d5d3backed Invictus Gaming56c35.71$20 inLost-$202343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Bilibili Gaming49c30$15 inWon+$15.320239.6%80 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe497…84aabacked Bilibili Gaming49c21$10 inWon+$10.7137950.9%193 W · 186 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Invictus Gaming52c20.83$11 inLost-$10.831,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1853…68ffbacked Bilibili Gaming49c20.41$10 inWon+$10.41757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.