Lol · resolved market
Will FURIA win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84113d6b360aab26706b2cf511a3545d9db9aa779cbb39bfdc4f9df9f58214bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Yes | 47c | 2,621$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.17 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 46c | 580.38$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.61 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 37c | 508$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.96 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 16c | 350.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.78 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked No | 51c | 301.42$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.05 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…9815backed Yes | 80c | 228.18$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 34c | 225$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 36c | 216$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 212.48$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.53 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 37c | 209.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…5cbabacked No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…b39ebacked Yes | 41c | 159.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 74c | 155$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 11c | 147.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…81c3backed Yes | 47c | 117.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 73c | 105$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1a…de1abacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463f…e458backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…13f2backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…722abacked Yes | 67c | 96.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 36c | 74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 18c | 70.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…9d96backed Yes | 21c | 69.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02c…ced9backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x643a…522abacked Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed No | 31c | 49.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 38c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…3f7bbacked No | 33c | 33.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 38c | 33.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 59c | 25.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 21.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2191…628ebacked Yes | 65c | 17.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FURIA win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?this page
- Will Fluxo W7M win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?No won
- Will LOS win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?No won
- Will LOUD win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?No won
- Will RED Canids win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.