World Politics · resolved market
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x605c1bb246391281ad86d2c00586f00dc507488f402950eb3b1edf064e749822
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd80a…58ebbacked No | 1c | 9,943$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 67c | 8,376$5,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.81 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf952…ce76backed Yes | 34c | 2,243$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 66c | 1,826$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.16 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…0e0cbacked No | 29c | 1,600$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +86%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…e5fabacked No | 68c | 1,495$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed No | 24c | 1,280$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.9 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +11.7wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +236.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…a2a7backed No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked No | 18c | 999.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +11.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 32c | 999.69$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.79 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 34c | 836.26$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.82 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 35c | 700$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 35c | 700$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +13.2wins | +0.49per pick | 29cpaid | +167.8%equal weight | 78+0.25 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked No | 20c | 658$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 67c | 621.91$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e7…7b0abacked Yes | 32c | 465.82$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +215.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 34c | 463.23$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…45e6backed No | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…01f5backed No | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked No | 50c | 326.34$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 70c | 306.24$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.37 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 38c | 304.93$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.57 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 20c | 301.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 28c | 283.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.17 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 7c | 205.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.30per pick | 11cpaid | +459.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 20c | 173.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.82 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…f0bbbacked No | 63c | 157.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc898…b0f8backed No | 75c | 151.51$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 64c | 135.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe804…419bbacked Yes | 51c | 118.97$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 35c | 113.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 37c | 102.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 35c | 102$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 17c | 100.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x643a…522abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 64c | 99.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 78c | 98.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x495a…f3a7backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 28c | 83.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 25cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3e…0f77backed No | 61c | 82.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…610cbacked Yes | 39c | 81.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 61c | 81.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 67c | 79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fe…2e87backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…e682backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +195%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…9d96backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0c…178abacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 37c | 59.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 63c | 55.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 23c | 54.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…ad3fbacked Yes | 37c | 53.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 40c | 50.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…bbfcbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked No | 34c | 46.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9585…1ff2backed No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…b9eabacked No | 74c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x020c…82cabacked No | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3750…023bbacked Yes | 29c | 43.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…da22backed Yes | 37c | 42.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…4e5bbacked Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…3a7abacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…7e36backed Yes | 40c | 39.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 68c | 37.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 150 | 76%114 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 34c | 36.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…ce0bbacked Yes | 49c | 34.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…c361backed No | 67c | 29.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ed…ac9cbacked No | 71c | 28.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…ad06backed No | 72c | 25.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b6…cb7ebacked No | 61c | 22.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1594…0a9dbacked No | 64c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9446backed No | 75c | 21.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02c…ced9backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216c…47a4backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…7389backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed No | 74c | 16.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b30…100fbacked No | 69c | 15.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…8c61backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? this page
- U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.