Earnings · resolved market
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba52bca1c99519f89b0f39487c4e65aab5e8ea32352e65cc2b4e90fa821a229e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7164…9db6backed Yes | 26c | 3,062$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed No | 75c | 1,771$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.47 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked No | 73c | 1,486$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…8120backed No | 25c | 636.57$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.07 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 23c | 534.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 77c | 524.41$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.59 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd480…ef0cbacked No | 18c | 431.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 17c | 321.06$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.46 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4931…e11cbacked Yes | 24c | 314.11$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…b8f4backed No | 28c | 256.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…d724backed Yes | 21c | 220.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Yes | 57c | 198.7$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 170 | 64.1%109 W · 61 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 73c | 180.25$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 41c | 171.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d85…6228backed No | 24c | 167.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +319.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 21c | 148.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 22c | 109.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…9d96backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…d8cdbacked No | 77c | 96.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 32c | 96.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…0e54backed Yes | 22c | 95.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 18c | 91.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.71 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 16c | 72.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 70.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…d30bbacked Yes | 21c | 66.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3855…e863backed Yes | 20c | 54.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 77c | 50.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…ee17backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…3827backed Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 69c | 43.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 26c | 40.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…2c07backed Yes | 71c | 15.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.