Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x401b91700dd938f62b2b6b897517a477ea3eb5076eb662451f1a4386cda151b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x375d…983ebacked Yes | 16c | 5,015$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 14c | 3,782$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.53 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed Yes | 6c | 3,166$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.29 | 223 | 33.6%75 W · 148 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 19c | 2,731$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.06 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 11c | 1,828$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 13c | 1,135$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.54 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…a352backed Yes | 14c | 1,131$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 10c | 999.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7e…6d42backed Yes | 16c | 956.37$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 12c | 893.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…5217backed Yes | 14c | 800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4c…14ddbacked Yes | 13c | 765.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 12c | 759.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 699.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 662.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 11c | 616.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2c…6e24backed Yes | 25c | 589$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 16c | 560.81$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 17c | 559.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 16c | 539.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.91 | 154 | 34.4%53 W · 101 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 7c | 512.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad6…5e1cbacked Yes | 17c | 414.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 15c | 384.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 11c | 349.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 21c | 333.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 13c | 317.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 15c | 316$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Yes | 16c | 314.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5c…46c3backed Yes | 18c | 260$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e2…41b4backed Yes | 11c | 251.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…b220backed Yes | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…e123backed Yes | 8c | 249.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 14c | 243.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 16c | 242.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 14c | 236.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 11c | 227.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Yes | 14c | 219.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 15c | 216.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…a130backed Yes | 19c | 213.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +8.6wins | +0.41per pick | 35cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 16c | 209.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…505fbacked Yes | 13c | 207.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1653…0348backed Yes | 24c | 205.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 161 | 31.7%51 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +189%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 16c | 187$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…5e6dbacked Yes | 10c | 185.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81a…8a17backed Yes | 11c | 185$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Yes | 19c | 179.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 16c | 175.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 15c | 174.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef5…343ebacked No | 77c | 173.07$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 15c | 165.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…f2c5backed Yes | 14c | 164.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed Yes | 11c | 155.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes | 7c | 150.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 133.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ae…78b3backed Yes | 11c | 133.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 15c | 132.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…6dc4backed Yes | 11c | 130.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +55%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…a079backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe199…3967backed Yes | 11c | 122.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ce…fbe7backed Yes | 11c | 121.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac41…6a0abacked Yes | 13c | 118.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a0…9d96backed Yes | 16c | 109.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649e…02c9backed Yes | 14c | 107.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 13c | 107.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 170 | 3.5%6 W · 164 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2b…4e2fbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b81…b08abacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes | 22c | 99.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e7…9561backed Yes | 15c | 99.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d0…b8ddbacked Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +235.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 78c | 77.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1d72backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed No | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2762…2cf6backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 76c | 13.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 84 | 82.1%69 W · 15 L | +11.8wins | +0.14per pick | 68cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.