Fifa International · resolved market
Will Norway be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x897ca7ea5da5619d6a57e2c4a35a4085f4b99d4d36482fd6343fa4b351758a5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 8c | 1,060$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 20c | 594.02$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…2317backed Yes | 40c | 394.97$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.98 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 69c | 344.98$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 20c | 277.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 32c | 241.45$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.94 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 74c | 179.12$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 80c | 134.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 79c | 125$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 118$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 26c | 95.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 71c | 74.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 44c | 69.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 80c | 60.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 66c | 36.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 69c | 36.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 31c | 36.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 36.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 74c | 30.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…76c9backed No | 73c | 17.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…1ec7backed No | 61c | 17.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will France be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Senegal be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.