TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,305

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb100…6461backed No76c5,387$4,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,118.194030%12 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No74c4,116$3,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,057.112534.4%43 W · 82 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No74c2,507$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.733555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x831a…d532backed No1c2,347$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.472317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9995…69bdbacked Yes25c2,223$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+302.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes20c1,374$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.3613251.5%68 W · 64 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes23c1,287$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.7514528.3%41 W · 104 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes25c1,018$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.0142336.9%156 W · 267 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Yes23c955.79$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.7510224.5%25 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe346…9040backed Yes25c923.33$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.3310525.7%27 W · 78 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf45…5903backed Yes27c889.34$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.227342.5%31 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No80c712.55$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.7845736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No77c655.71$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.811,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb05…d19fbacked Yes29c621.58$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.45683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31fb…6122backed Yes26c575.91$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.462642.3%11 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No77c528.59$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.8731851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes21c518.41$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.63250%16 W · 16 L+6.6wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+51.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3696…5ce1backed Yes20c510$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4103444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb73…b8b8backed Yes24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes25c500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37522650.9%115 W · 111 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes21c499.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.9911165.8%73 W · 38 L+15.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5476…fcadbacked Yes29c465.53$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.53837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb287…0934backed Yes28c428.33$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.33850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No6c425.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4480225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1547…d066backed No80c398.19$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.55650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a1…7d4dbacked Yes22c396.81$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.68450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+168.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2bf…894fbacked Yes27c360.63$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.26728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick13cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c27…1555backed No76c346.19$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.434746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes24c302.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.336341.3%26 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No72c252.75$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4642737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked No75c249.99$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.492321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No77c246.05$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1828547.7%136 W · 149 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce67…62b8backed No75c222.63$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1d…245fbacked Yes23c220.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.371118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc326…1db1backed No76c219.99$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.321457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe39…cf5fbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.392128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43e7…2380backed Yes24c205.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.233821.1%8 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed No75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Yes24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15220138.3%77 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No78c200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15618848.9%92 W · 96 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cd5…f2cfbacked No78c199.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.291942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a1…e17dbacked Yes26c189.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.993818.4%7 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6406…bc04backed No78c188.16$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9410966.1%72 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a48…6653backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+585.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabd7…a0cebacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1910844.4%48 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No75c177.77$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5966239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf75…262fbacked No72c171.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.761540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb693…6123backed No78c165.97$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.461250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked No79c157$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.316030%18 W · 42 L-8.6wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6a96…69debacked Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.253345.5%15 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes24c151.65$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf496…02a1backed Yes20c150$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206431.3%20 W · 44 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…fc58backed Yes22c149.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.951050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2815…7f0cbacked No71c147.6$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6216954.4%92 W · 77 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No74c137.97$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.140649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Yes25c132.53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5328127.8%78 W · 203 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5035…cf0dbacked Yes29c132.07$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.399629.2%28 W · 68 L-8.5wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7304…1909backed Yes24c127.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.215747.4%27 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21a6…7442backed No79c118.83$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.213231.3%10 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-50.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cd…a8f0backed No76c118.02$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked No80c115.6$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.918041.3%33 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Yes22c113.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.646929%20 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d18…8fa3backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.114626.1%12 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb52a…31a2backed Yes16c109.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.384531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac35…37fabacked Yes24c106.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.011428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes24c104.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1710740.2%43 W · 64 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No69c102.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.413855.1%76 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7319958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf72…2a2cbacked Yes23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97b3…a959backed Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803636.1%13 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03bc…530cbacked Yes16c99.94$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.957651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No76c91.2$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.22,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No69c86.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9113957.6%80 W · 59 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3731…9afcbacked Yes24c84.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+88.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8328…feb3backed Yes24c83.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.678248.8%40 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4038…17c0backed Yes24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.33560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes14c82.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.889752.6%51 W · 46 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf885…d719backed No79c79.64$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.31580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked No72c79.16$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.119643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f6…eadabacked No78c76.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0d7…0216backed Yes20c75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf90…e485backed Yes27c72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.563225%8 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes66c71.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2426330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes23c69.73$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6916246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes17c67.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5521517.2%37 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3d…d63fbacked Yes23c65.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.222729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x23b4…48dabacked No74c65.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.333125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…5b28backed No78c64.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa216…7d75backed Yes23c63.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.814100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+147.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes23c62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7426037.3%97 W · 163 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked No75c60$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459555.8%53 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Yes20c60$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2773…d703backed Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+69.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed01…0ceabacked Yes26c58.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.322755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cc2…0d6ebacked No78c57.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid+46.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff56…ca81backed No78c53.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.672343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes21c52.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.972937.5%22 W · 271 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee82…e207backed Yes27c50.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No79c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.523543%101 W · 134 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…216bbacked No79c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.54564.4%29 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.