Golf · resolved market
Will a player from the United States of America win the 2026 U.S. Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc13b1b5ba66e4e311489c0e677f41211582d621c57e69a1e5137cc4f95248dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 75c | 1,933$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.12 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1613…6bb0backed No | 12c | 987.78$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Yes | 78c | 902.28$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.31 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 45c | 250.47$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 75c | 209.43$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 53c | 186.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.59 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 47c | 182.2$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 51c | 176$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 13c | 157$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fd…15a0backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…c64dbacked No | 27c | 96.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 102 | 68.6%70 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…05a6backed No | 45c | 87.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 23c | 58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…2a2cbacked No | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…3fe8backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed No | 46c | 33.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…f51cbacked No | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a player from the United States of America win the 2026 U.S. Open?this page
- Will a player from England win the 2026 U.S. Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.