CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaa155613de43df1538a4964f7ead9bea47b1987f8aba4473e23407b729d1fe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof FOKUS, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked FOKUS | 67c | 3,373$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.34 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Phantom | 42c | 3,160$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.73 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Phantom | 57c | 2,589$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.18 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed FOKUS | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed FOKUS | 55c | 1,467$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.22 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…d916backed Phantom | 34c | 1,312$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.87 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FOKUS | 33c | 1,247$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.98 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS | 45c | 929$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.01 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Phantom | 32c | 750$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Phantom | 70c | 740.09$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.53 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked FOKUS | 39c | 719.25$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.89 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 70c | 706.6$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Phantom | 52c | 670.19$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.48 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FOKUS | 26c | 517$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.89 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 40c | 512.63$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.07 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 45c | 484.97$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.89 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Phantom | 59c | 443.34$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.61 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked FOKUS | 27c | 337.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Phantom | 70c | 327.01$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed FOKUS | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Phantom | 34c | 303.03$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Phantom | 70c | 278.79$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed FOKUS | 72c | 276.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FOKUS | 42c | 270.37$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.71 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Phantom | 71c | 257$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Phantom | 71c | 257$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Phantom | 71c | 250.81$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.73 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed FOKUS | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d78…b8b9backed FOKUS | 66c | 225$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…4bc8backed Phantom | 50c | 199.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Phantom | 34c | 178.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Phantom | 69c | 178$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked FOKUS | 56c | 168.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FOKUS | 44c | 137$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FOKUS | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked FOKUS | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…9deabacked Phantom | 65c | 112.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed FOKUS | 45c | 112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 20.4%34 W · 133 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FOKUS | 36c | 105$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked Phantom | 71c | 103$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FOKUS | 24c | 102.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed FOKUS | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Phantom | 71c | 93.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed FOKUS | 45c | 85.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FOKUS | 56c | 84.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Phantom | 34c | 82.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Phantom | 57c | 82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6342…0546backed Phantom | 22c | 81.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked FOKUS | 47c | 79.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed FOKUS | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Phantom | 73c | 68.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Phantom | 67c | 63.61$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed FOKUS | 33c | 60.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed FOKUS | 66c | 59.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FOKUS | 59c | 59.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked FOKUS | 55c | 58.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FOKUS | 20c | 57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Phantom | 68c | 52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked FOKUS | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…31cbbacked FOKUS | 53c | 49.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Phantom | 33c | 46.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FOKUS | 39c | 44.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…88dfbacked Phantom | 56c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c40…44a1backed Phantom | 33c | 42.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Phantom | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…c8dabacked FOKUS | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Phantom | 67c | 28.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked FOKUS | 48c | 27.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed FOKUS | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 316 | 62.7%198 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…a53fbacked FOKUS | 51c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf97f…dd8bbacked FOKUS | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FOKUS | 67c | 20.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed FOKUS | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 338 | 69.8%236 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Phantom | 62c | 17.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed FOKUS | 77c | 17.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Phantom | 72c | 15.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed FOKUS | 74c | 14.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPhantom won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs Phantom (+1.5)Phantom won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.