TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FOKUSof FOKUS, Phantom
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,653 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked FOKUS63c16,871$10,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,175.2392456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Phantom39c9,320$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,680.1563457.1%362 W · 272 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom48c2,941$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4146,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Phantom36c2,798$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.813,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Phantom37c2,419$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.372,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Phantom43c2,393$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.312,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Phantom38c1,797$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.84,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc96…d916backed Phantom48c1,430$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68310333%34 W · 69 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe395…0671backed Phantom58c1,245$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.553060%18 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Phantom38c1,237$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.482,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom28c1,111$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.027,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Phantom36c782$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.243,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Phantom40c640.04$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.353,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Phantom43c544.62$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.685,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FOKUS71c533.36$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.451,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Phantom44c510.5$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.072,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Phantom22c499.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11032136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FOKUS60c492.4$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.445,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Phantom59c474$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.7152850.6%267 W · 261 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Phantom48c472$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.2757935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Phantom45c440.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Phantom51c440$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.42835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Phantom43c429.9$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.092,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Phantom51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20418432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Phantom52c375.43$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.682,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Phantom48c372.81$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.92,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c52…9eaebacked Phantom30c349.7$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.528332.5%27 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa81b…c36cbacked Phantom31c320.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-70.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed FOKUS63c319.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.771,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Phantom30c318$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0245754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Phantom41c297.4$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.872,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Phantom28c278.14$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.881,32544.1%584 W · 741 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed FOKUS67c255.37$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3714048.6%68 W · 72 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Phantom43c242.52$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.262,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x51f4…4bc8backed FOKUS58c228.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+66.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Phantom32c206$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.962,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd241…6c35backed Phantom41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Phantom33c200$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6552150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed Phantom41c194$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.548143.2%35 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Phantom79c180$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.150458.5%295 W · 209 L-1.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked FOKUS58c173.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.64,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked Phantom40c172.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6917449.4%86 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed Phantom29c168.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.823644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked FOKUS48c162.56$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5653034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed FOKUS43c160$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.930247%142 W · 160 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed Phantom56c159.47$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.320454.4%111 W · 93 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Phantom45c138.41$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.61,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked FOKUS73c136$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.721,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b1c…8273backed FOKUS75c133.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.314856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked FOKUS49c122.76$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Phantom61c110.7$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7740972.4%296 W · 113 L+38.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Phantom30c108.68$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0474653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Phantom39c105$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9545439.6%180 W · 274 L+1.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d6…423dbacked Phantom41c104.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.728240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Phantom29c103$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8718753.5%100 W · 87 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed FOKUS65c99.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3535953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed FOKUS40c94.04$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4218154.7%99 W · 82 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed FOKUS56c89.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0431662.7%198 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78ab…a53fbacked FOKUS54c88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.523933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Phantom57c87.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049866.9%333 W · 165 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed FOKUS53c74.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7827748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf380…17bbbacked FOKUS59c72.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.882441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Phantom56c72.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.462,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…eb73backed Phantom38c66.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa04c…55d3backed Phantom45c62.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5cc…e18fbacked Phantom49c61.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked FOKUS62c60.56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.982,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Phantom19c60.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.489145.1%41 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked Phantom62c60.27$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.236174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Phantom52c58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9264046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf91e…dc10backed Phantom36c55.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207354.8%40 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…c3b4backed FOKUS46c51.37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8433950.7%172 W · 167 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Phantom33c50.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6480741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Phantom41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.57044.3%31 W · 39 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Phantom46c46.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1740141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0c…5ad0backed FOKUS56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6410643.4%46 W · 60 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3208…07a7backed FOKUS52c38.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5513839.9%55 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb8…c8dabacked FOKUS66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.252259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FOKUS40c25.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.334,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c4…e285backed Phantom63c24.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.142770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Phantom46c23.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.935973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x8332…0235backed Phantom65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed FOKUS68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0677346.1%356 W · 417 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc7…a2a4backed Phantom59c20.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212162.8%76 W · 45 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked FOKUS53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.419954.8%109 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.