Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb89338daa86f1a55c3a0f221b72733a0719a92c0b5e35fc4b3c1ce6a57d2c569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof LOUD, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Sentinels | 70c | 10,008$7,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.73 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…2290backed LOUD | 30c | 5,624$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed LOUD | 19c | 3,238$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.73 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed LOUD | 24c | 3,089$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.62 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed LOUD | 19c | 1,490$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.14 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LOUD | 40c | 1,277$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.93 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOUD | 26c | 1,017$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.26 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed LOUD | 29c | 999.43$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.83 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed LOUD | 14c | 499.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed LOUD | 42c | 471.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LOUD | 15c | 445.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked LOUD | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed LOUD | 33c | 359.29$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed LOUD | 33c | 281.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed LOUD | 41c | 148$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.68 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LOUD | 30c | 147$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sentinels | 59c | 141.9$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Sentinels | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked LOUD | 11c | 106.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LOUD | 22c | 96.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed LOUD | 40c | 91.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ad…3575backed Sentinels | 61c | 89.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sentinels | 63c | 74.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…b3debacked LOUD | 30c | 63.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Sentinels | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Sentinels | 63c | 54.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked LOUD | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Sentinels | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…4781backed Sentinels | 75c | 39.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Sentinels | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked Sentinels | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2LOUD won
- Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.