Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc31089bb0defb42493b531188054201f2238249eb031239d75fb3011e4ae8b15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof LOUD, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65c1…2988backed LOUD | 37c | 14,798$5,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,323.09 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Sentinels | 63c | 7,000$4,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,407.81 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Sentinels | 64c | 4,611$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.5 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sentinels | 42c | 2,570$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.16 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed LOUD | 27c | 1,700$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.67 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels | 61c | 1,443$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.93 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Sentinels | 78c | 1,099$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.68 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sentinels | 50c | 1,086$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.37 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Sentinels | 76c | 999.53$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.45 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked LOUD | 21c | 868.63$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.63 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Sentinels | 1c | 849.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Sentinels | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Sentinels | 42c | 618.52$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.45 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Sentinels | 50c | 512.61$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.1 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Sentinels | 63c | 450.25$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.84 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Sentinels | 54c | 417.48$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.01 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sentinels | 48c | 362$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.16 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked LOUD | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd4…7a38backed Sentinels | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed Sentinels | 57c | 250$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…6be1backed LOUD | 42c | 236.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sentinels | 47c | 216$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.46 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked LOUD | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Sentinels | 23c | 173.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked LOUD | 15c | 160$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.98 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Sentinels | 57c | 132.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sentinels | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked Sentinels | 74c | 108.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Sentinels | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed LOUD | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Sentinels | 73c | 97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Sentinels | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sentinels | 53c | 78.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f47…0d7ebacked Sentinels | 56c | 76.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sentinels | 77c | 73.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed LOUD | 35c | 69.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93b1…4781backed Sentinels | 64c | 61.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed LOUD | 30c | 58.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Sentinels | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Sentinels | 28c | 44.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…deedbacked Sentinels | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…465abacked Sentinels | 76c | 42.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed LOUD | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sentinels | 73c | 40.59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked LOUD | 42c | 34.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1a…df7ebacked Sentinels | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d12…f251backed Sentinels | 50c | 28.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Sentinels | 45c | 25.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ce…3273backed Sentinels | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Sentinels | 60c | 22.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Sentinels | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2LOUD won
- Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.