TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiN Gamingof Fluxo W7M, paiN Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,102 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3186…e9cabacked paiN Gaming64c12,441$7,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,510.761,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Fluxo W7M43c6,026$2,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,621.1510353.4%55 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN Gaming39c5,511$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,348.221,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Fluxo W7M1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Fluxo W7M67c2,400$1,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.682953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b26…6091backed Fluxo W7M23c2,206$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003327.3%9 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Fluxo W7M55c2,014$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.131,09147.4%517 W · 574 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Fluxo W7M10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200628.1%5 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked paiN Gaming74c1,679$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.121,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7547…1a38backed paiN Gaming47c1,650$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.759742.3%41 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed paiN Gaming40c1,518$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.361,22358.1%710 W · 513 L+43.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed paiN Gaming66c1,481$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.819948.2%96 W · 103 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eef…803dbacked paiN Gaming49c1,448$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.7410251%52 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Fluxo W7M62c1,383$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.556363.5%40 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fluxo W7M55c1,271$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.292,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Fluxo W7M50c1,114$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.1230357.1%173 W · 130 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Fluxo W7M54c1,110$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.3519743.7%86 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed Fluxo W7M69c1,016$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70040446%186 W · 218 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked paiN Gaming49c976.61$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.7484360.7%512 W · 331 L+44.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed paiN Gaming39c897.43$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.4316048.1%77 W · 83 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb20b…a3e1backed paiN Gaming52c861.09$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.036051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e8…3c36backed paiN Gaming48c834.86$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.8619335.2%68 W · 125 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c8…5e53backed paiN Gaming49c723.87$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.7825074.8%187 W · 63 L+42.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Fluxo W7M35c712.08$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.622,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd0…08f6backed Fluxo W7M68c702.31$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.835952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed Fluxo W7M36c701.87$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.9625345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Fluxo W7M40c656.26$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.837451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed paiN Gaming49c640$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.47758.4%45 W · 32 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Fluxo W7M44c617.56$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.781,54543.8%676 W · 869 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked paiN Gaming60c599.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24035159.5%209 W · 142 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Fluxo W7M57c593.28$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.151,91237.1%709 W · 1,203 L-115.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fluxo W7M62c539$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.182,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Fluxo W7M61c531.94$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.9818046.1%83 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fluxo W7M49c531.74$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.421,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Fluxo W7M60c529.76$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.8688544.3%392 W · 493 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854b…e720backed Fluxo W7M50c512.57$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.294042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Fluxo W7M65c502.24$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.411,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Fluxo W7M2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1094644.6%422 W · 524 L-2.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked paiN Gaming38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101,45343.4%630 W · 823 L+106.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed paiN Gaming38c472.03$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.5369841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed Fluxo W7M45c388.67$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17580750.8%410 W · 397 L+48.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Fluxo W7M67c341.64$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.2835341.9%148 W · 205 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Fluxo W7M61c323.33$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2324643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked paiN Gaming50c306$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1534247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbc…deedbacked Fluxo W7M33c280$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.140245.8%184 W · 218 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ddd…1fc8backed Fluxo W7M66c268.59$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.149259.8%55 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5353…649cbacked Fluxo W7M52c264.62$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.67347.9%35 W · 38 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3737…bfd1backed paiN Gaming41c263.52$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2338057.4%218 W · 162 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked paiN Gaming33c254.61$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.5917738.4%68 W · 109 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe831…aa69backed Fluxo W7M42c253.9$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.411145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c5…378abacked paiN Gaming60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015860.8%96 W · 62 L+12.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fluxo W7M61c248.25$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.592,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee9c…c449backed paiN Gaming39c248.13$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3653543.4%232 W · 303 L+33.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Fluxo W7M40c247.91$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1784840.8%346 W · 502 L-39.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Fluxo W7M44c247.57$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5421530.7%66 W · 149 L-15.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Fluxo W7M57c246.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.653,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x369f…abb5backed Fluxo W7M63c242.6$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.463956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Fluxo W7M52c240$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.696348.7%469 W · 494 L+28.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked paiN Gaming49c229.67$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.175050%25 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked paiN Gaming34c228.03$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.520847.6%99 W · 109 L+17.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+37.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed Fluxo W7M44c227.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007642.1%32 W · 44 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Fluxo W7M64c211.78$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13564451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked Fluxo W7M26c208.37$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5432566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc52f…0981backed paiN Gaming60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8041468.4%283 W · 131 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e71…e570backed Fluxo W7M60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204560%27 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed paiN Gaming44c197.81$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.352543.8%230 W · 295 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41d7…c640backed Fluxo W7M51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005373.6%39 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked paiN Gaming40c195$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11760943.2%263 W · 346 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed paiN Gaming41c182.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9378646.4%365 W · 421 L+19.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f8…8c55backed Fluxo W7M59c172.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.079640.6%39 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd257…c66cbacked Fluxo W7M61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-64.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Fluxo W7M39c162.77$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3216837.5%63 W · 105 L-10.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked paiN Gaming39c161.21$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5615457.8%89 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc45…7f69backed Fluxo W7M18c159.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.647518.7%14 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Fluxo W7M61c158.44$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.849451.8%256 W · 238 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed paiN Gaming39c155.79$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7992342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed paiN Gaming59c152$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.021,65846.9%777 W · 881 L-25.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f9…123dbacked Fluxo W7M66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010264.7%66 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Fluxo W7M66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046960.1%282 W · 187 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ac…c9f4backed paiN Gaming64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5442369.3%293 W · 130 L+34.5wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed paiN Gaming53c148.93$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.681,21343.4%527 W · 686 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe138…5c13backed paiN Gaming41c146.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.34944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaa…ca7dbacked paiN Gaming68c146.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.276159%36 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed paiN Gaming34c144.72$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.521,13130.1%340 W · 791 L-26.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x062b…c6eabacked Fluxo W7M61c144.61$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fluxo W7M42c143$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,93135.9%693 W · 1,238 L-98.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked paiN Gaming39c142.82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1296948.6%471 W · 498 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Fluxo W7M51c132.72$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.962,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed paiN Gaming39c132.6$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.641,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0a9…5862backed Fluxo W7M62c130.12$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed Fluxo W7M60c130$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7817757.6%102 W · 75 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Fluxo W7M28c130$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.472234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Fluxo W7M10c128.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.26427.1%3 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-79.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Fluxo W7M68c122.41$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8313156.5%74 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Fluxo W7M60c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7274637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc400…21a7backed Fluxo W7M65c119.04$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7723149.8%115 W · 116 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed paiN Gaming37c117.75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.611,60817.5%282 W · 1,326 L-245.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x1699…5d32backed Fluxo W7M62c100.08$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ea…c5fabacked paiN Gaming37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65c4…3c1abacked Fluxo W7M43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436241.9%26 W · 36 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.