Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3c034f81dca47dc045bcae5e6ea1b0ac1bae2f6257a442df69a7c3355e28888
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Gamingof Fluxo W7M, paiN Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e34…4480backed paiN Gaming | 56c | 1,107$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.1 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked paiN Gaming | 61c | 938.18$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.89 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Fluxo W7M | 44c | 787.62$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Fluxo W7M | 45c | 750$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…9b8bbacked Fluxo W7M | 39c | 517.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…1fc8backed Fluxo W7M | 39c | 320.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.97 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked paiN Gaming | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked paiN Gaming | 61c | 268$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Fluxo W7M | 39c | 240$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked paiN Gaming | 61c | 240$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.3 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed paiN Gaming | 62c | 148$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked paiN Gaming | 55c | 126.04$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Fluxo W7M | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fluxo W7M | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed paiN Gaming | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Fluxo W7M | 38c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 210 | 54.8%115 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed paiN Gaming | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed paiN Gaming | 65c | 25.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked paiN Gaming | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier PlayoffsFluxo W7M won
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 WinnerFluxo W7M won
- LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 WinnerpaiN Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.