Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeb68e3c4434fdb6d218515a5e75b8d5200f7b1f52ec74d0e095f846cde55010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flame Teamof Flame Team, 4ikibamboni
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked 4ikibamboni | 54c | 13,070$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000.14 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Flame Team | 50c | 10,905$5,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,501.34 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Flame Team | 23c | 3,042$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.83 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 4ikibamboni | 76c | 3,000$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.65 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Flame Team | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Flame Team | 47c | 2,916$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.08 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 4ikibamboni | 57c | 2,469$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.58 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked 4ikibamboni | 21c | 2,262$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.51 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Flame Team | 66c | 2,260$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.17 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Flame Team | 59c | 2,233$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.44 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 4ikibamboni | 36c | 1,494$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.16 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed 4ikibamboni | 30c | 1,074$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.2 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Flame Team | 29c | 1,036$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.79 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed 4ikibamboni | 60c | 991.7$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.03 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 4ikibamboni | 63c | 852$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.34 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Flame Team | 49c | 831.68$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.23 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Flame Team | 32c | 818.89$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.27 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245d…3b90backed Flame Team | 73c | 785$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.7 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 4ikibamboni | 45c | 780.4$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.96 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Flame Team | 66c | 700$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.01 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 4ikibamboni | 55c | 653.84$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.56 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Flame Team | 52c | 640$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.37 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Flame Team | 52c | 576.65$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.56 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked 4ikibamboni | 53c | 552.81$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.59 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed 4ikibamboni | 38c | 546.84$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.08 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Flame Team | 57c | 531.43$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.6 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed 4ikibamboni | 71c | 524.49$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.3 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed 4ikibamboni | 43c | 460.26$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.82 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked 4ikibamboni | 73c | 446.54$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.69 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Flame Team | 13c | 402.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.59 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked 4ikibamboni | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Flame Team | 77c | 388.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed 4ikibamboni | 36c | 376.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Flame Team | 20c | 375.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.06 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed 4ikibamboni | 60c | 362.51$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.91 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Flame Team | 53c | 359.25$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.95 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Flame Team | 42c | 353.34$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.02 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed 4ikibamboni | 28c | 350$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked 4ikibamboni | 64c | 341.75$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.89 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed 4ikibamboni | 57c | 317$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130b…a733backed 4ikibamboni | 66c | 316.03$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked 4ikibamboni | 30c | 311.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Flame Team | 71c | 299.98$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed 4ikibamboni | 36c | 273.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Flame Team | 59c | 264.34$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.24 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked 4ikibamboni | 71c | 245.63$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed 4ikibamboni | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Flame Team | 11c | 231.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.14 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Flame Team | 28c | 219.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…48b5backed Flame Team | 29c | 217.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Flame Team | 27c | 210.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.07 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked 4ikibamboni | 62c | 209.78$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.52 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked 4ikibamboni | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked 4ikibamboni | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Flame Team | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed 4ikibamboni | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Flame Team | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…2c2ebacked Flame Team | 30c | 195.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.79 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed 4ikibamboni | 52c | 188.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed 4ikibamboni | 56c | 182.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Flame Team | 25c | 181.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.63 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Flame Team | 58c | 177.19$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed 4ikibamboni | 62c | 173.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked 4ikibamboni | 49c | 171.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…affdbacked Flame Team | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed 4ikibamboni | 36c | 146.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0abb…d188backed Flame Team | 70c | 144.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac19…65bfbacked 4ikibamboni | 75c | 142.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Flame Team | 30c | 132.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed 4ikibamboni | 42c | 130.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…290cbacked Flame Team | 42c | 130.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked 4ikibamboni | 37c | 129.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked 4ikibamboni | 15c | 125$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Flame Team | 31c | 124.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Flame Team | 39c | 119.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.21 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb5…ea33backed 4ikibamboni | 76c | 116.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 4ikibamboni | 54c | 107.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…b972backed Flame Team | 29c | 105$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Flame Team | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f9…7d44backed 4ikibamboni | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Flame Team | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b43…04e2backed 4ikibamboni | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…59eabacked 4ikibamboni | 28c | 98.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed Flame Team | 28c | 98.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…fa27backed 4ikibamboni | 41c | 97.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Flame Team | 27c | 96.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked 4ikibamboni | 36c | 96.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked 4ikibamboni | 63c | 95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked 4ikibamboni | 80c | 90$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Flame Team | 28c | 87.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Flame Team | 45c | 80.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked 4ikibamboni | 35c | 78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Flame Team | 34c | 76.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Flame Team | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed 4ikibamboni | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…2b50backed 4ikibamboni | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed 4ikibamboni | 74c | 69.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Flame Team | 27c | 68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…26f6backed 4ikibamboni | 66c | 67.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed 4ikibamboni | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner4ikibamboni won
- Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 WinnerFlame Team won
- Game Handicap: 4iki (-1.5) vs Flame Team (+1.5)Flame Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.