Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb33e85c91227804505ca582dc08a55a456f89c365ba7ced97d2a8eb2528ba115
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Flame Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.92 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Flame Team | 5c | 6,300$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 4,912$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.91 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Flame Team | 36c | 3,228$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.68 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…d370backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 3,218$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Flame Team | 25c | 3,025$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.56 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Flame Team | 36c | 2,116$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.48 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Flame Team | 43c | 2,010$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.67 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Flame Team | 10c | 1,860$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 58c | 1,748$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.56 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Flame Team | 20c | 1,617$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.3 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Flame Team | 35c | 1,594$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.37 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Flame Team | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Flame Team | 43c | 1,346$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flame Team | 42c | 1,310$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.68 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a16…b7e3backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 1,136$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Flame Team | 17c | 1,071$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.83 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Flame Team | 12c | 999.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Zero Tenacity | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.99 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Flame Team | 41c | 990$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.1 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Flame Team | 49c | 942.24$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.21 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 935.93$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.27 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Zero Tenacity | 73c | 920$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.62 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Flame Team | 38c | 845.04$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.16 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Flame Team | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +13.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Flame Team | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Flame Team | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 780$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.6 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Flame Team | 20c | 712.51$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Flame Team | 41c | 710.39$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.62 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Flame Team | 43c | 697.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Flame Team | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Flame Team | 30c | 601.43$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.34 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Flame Team | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Zero Tenacity | 59c | 600$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.7 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Flame Team | 13c | 599.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Flame Team | 42c | 542.57$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.33 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 521.13$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.56 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…7442backed Flame Team | 15c | 505.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.41 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed Flame Team | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Flame Team | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.69 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Flame Team | 44c | 442.18$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.74 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Flame Team | 43c | 436.29$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.9 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Flame Team | 4c | 430.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Flame Team | 45c | 420.98$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.44 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Flame Team | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Flame Team | 44c | 389$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.92 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 350.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.24 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Flame Team | 43c | 334.62$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.64 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Flame Team | 21c | 320.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Flame Team | 39c | 316.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.65 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Flame Team | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Flame Team | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 299.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Flame Team | 43c | 296.47$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.95 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Flame Team | 35c | 290$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 265.09$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.14 | 140 | 30.7%43 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Flame Team | 39c | 260$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Flame Team | 18c | 255.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Flame Team | 23c | 252.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Flame Team | 45c | 248.89$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Flame Team | 14c | 231$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Flame Team | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Flame Team | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Flame Team | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Flame Team | 47c | 191.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Flame Team | 37c | 172$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Flame Team | 17c | 168$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Zero Tenacity | 63c | 156.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a8…d77fbacked Flame Team | 38c | 147.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 145.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Zero Tenacity | 71c | 141.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Flame Team | 43c | 135.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ad…3575backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 123.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Flame Team | 12c | 119.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Flame Team | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 102.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Flame Team | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked Flame Team | 20c | 99.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…ca54backed Flame Team | 38c | 95.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…1e00backed Flame Team | 38c | 95.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Zero Tenacity | 67c | 91.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Flame Team | 45c | 84.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Flame Team | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Flame Team | 38c | 73.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Zero Tenacity | 74c | 72.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed Flame Team | 38c | 71.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Flame Team | 59c | 68.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Flame Team | 43c | 68.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…c931backed Flame Team | 28c | 64.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Flame Team | 41c | 61.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Zero Tenacity | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Zero Tenacity | 64c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…6d22backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 58.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Flame Team | 38c | 55.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Flame Team | 31c | 55.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Flame Team | 36c | 54.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.