Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91cb073eae0fb4c7d5e923be6255ac6b6a9328e2d0548b402a6e843c88bf328f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Flame Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 1,038$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.29 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Flame Team | 21c | 789.15$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.29 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Flame Team | 28c | 524.29$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.09 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Flame Team | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 442.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Flame Team | 36c | 279$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Zero Tenacity | 64c | 235$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Flame Team | 36c | 223.73$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Zero Tenacity | 75c | 202.19$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Zero Tenacity | 79c | 194.54$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Flame Team | 33c | 191.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 190.91$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 189.54$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Flame Team | 17c | 186.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 183.49$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Flame Team | 15c | 174.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 170.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Flame Team | 19c | 129.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Flame Team | 24c | 127.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Flame Team | 10c | 114$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Flame Team | 32c | 109.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Flame Team | 33c | 108.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Zero Tenacity | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…7caebacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…b3debacked Flame Team | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Zero Tenacity | 68c | 87.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Flame Team | 33c | 72.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Flame Team | 34c | 70.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Flame Team | 27c | 70.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…9a33backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 69.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Flame Team | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Flame Team | 30c | 50.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd40…a279backed Flame Team | 31c | 45.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 41.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Flame Team | 30c | 41.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Zero Tenacity | 65c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…5f2dbacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 25.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 22.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba76…4df0backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 15.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.