Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4db0ae79c8779902794945d5d1166e1fd2d782dc425f39cd7da01ace5e9e5b2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Flame Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 69c | 5,062$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.75 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 2,630$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.72 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Flame Team | 29c | 2,331$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.27 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Flame Team | 23c | 2,178$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.21 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Flame Team | 29c | 1,800$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Flame Team | 15c | 1,662$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.95 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Flame Team | 32c | 1,234$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.29 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Flame Team | 32c | 1,168$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.43 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Zero Tenacity | 78c | 1,131$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.55 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Flame Team | 39c | 855.47$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Flame Team | 23c | 700.42$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Flame Team | 31c | 565.29$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.11 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Flame Team | 25c | 543.14$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.23 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Flame Team | 34c | 471.93$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.46 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Zero Tenacity | 64c | 467.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.24 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked Flame Team | 6c | 399.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Zero Tenacity | 76c | 348.37$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 304.99$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Flame Team | 17c | 284$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Zero Tenacity | 64c | 249.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 235.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Flame Team | 18c | 203.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 201.24$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…7442backed Flame Team | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Zero Tenacity | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Flame Team | 33c | 192.66$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Flame Team | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Flame Team | 26c | 112$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Flame Team | 34c | 112$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Flame Team | 25c | 111.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Flame Team | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Flame Team | 26c | 92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Flame Team | 25c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Flame Team | 25c | 79.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity | 72c | 69.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Flame Team | 26c | 68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…1e00backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 54.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Flame Team | 32c | 52.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Flame Team | 33c | 50.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Zero Tenacity | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Flame Team | 32c | 49.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 69c | 48.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Zero Tenacity | 63c | 44.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…bf7abacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 43.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 38.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Zero Tenacity | 72c | 38.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Flame Team | 27c | 38.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…c834backed Zero Tenacity | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…ca54backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Flame Team | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 20.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…4c78backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9195backed Zero Tenacity | 66c | 18.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 17.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…bb65backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 17.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Zero Tenacity | 78c | 15.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Flame Team - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.