TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2d88…a5a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Valorant at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked REBORN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Valorant: REBORN vs Enterprise Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked REBORN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$87.97
Valorant: Misa Esports vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Valorant: FURIA Academy vs la Masia (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffsbacked la Masia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Valorant: Joblife vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$48.59
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Cbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Dbacked REBORN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Bbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Map Handicap: JL (-1.5) vs CGN Esports (+1.5)backed Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+171.9%+$42.97
Valorant: Joblife vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Bbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Valorant: Mandatory vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Abacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Abacked Beşiktaş Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+53.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.49
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Japan (-2.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$376.19
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$81.25
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+124.3%+$93.22
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group Abacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$57.43
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 11 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.