TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NRG Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shopify Rebellion Blackof NRG Academy, Shopify Rebellion Black
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Shopify Rebellion Black63c7,417$4,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.6652155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Shopify Rebellion Black61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.983966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed NRG Academy37c2,450$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.3833348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked NRG Academy36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked NRG Academy39c1,224$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.178348.2%40 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed NRG Academy37c1,200$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.0423447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked NRG Academy39c1,054$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.9631046.5%144 W · 166 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked NRG Academy37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3708334.9%29 W · 54 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black60c999.99$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40086747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black61c808.41$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.9184838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG Academy27c758.7$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.621,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed NRG Academy6c690$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.532245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked NRG Academy39c673.09$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.73834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed NRG Academy38c587.03$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2268538.8%33 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed NRG Academy36c565$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.419860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked NRG Academy37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked NRG Academy37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1855328.3%15 W · 38 L-9.3wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4a7f…3797backed NRG Academy36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked NRG Academy37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked NRG Academy37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1856043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd5…28f2backed NRG Academy36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803732.4%12 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bb6…944cbacked NRG Academy36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-81.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NRG Academy40c471.9$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.721,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b80…e5dfbacked NRG Academy36c408.57$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1473243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked NRG Academy36c375$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked NRG Academy23c366.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2254439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed NRG Academy37c362.27$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8515843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked NRG Academy41c325$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7517653.4%94 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb68…9aa2backed NRG Academy39c320.87$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked NRG Academy46c300$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13836648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked NRG Academy35c300$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10634443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3208…07a7backed Shopify Rebellion Black58c299$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.581163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed NRG Academy39c284.62$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-51.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Shopify Rebellion Black67c277.34$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.346852.9%36 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb52c…77abbacked NRG Academy39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed NRG Academy39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006454.7%35 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed NRG Academy37c251.35$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG Academy40c250$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.21,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked NRG Academy13c249.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.514552.4%76 W · 69 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked Shopify Rebellion Black57c219.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a18…4be5backed Shopify Rebellion Black64c218.75$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Shopify Rebellion Black65c213.99$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1377929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Shopify Rebellion Black57c212.39$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3317948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed NRG Academy40c211.9$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8823644.9%106 W · 130 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a11…84cbbacked Shopify Rebellion Black80c208.69$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.78560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed NRG Academy38c208.24$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1312138.8%47 W · 74 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed NRG Academy38c207.89$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792528%7 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-39.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked NRG Academy39c205.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013043.1%56 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe49…de5cbacked NRG Academy39c182.05$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0193…bad1backed NRG Academy39c181.5$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-34.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NRG Academy8c170.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.171,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc54…db0ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black73c152.5$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed NRG Academy36c149.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5425245.2%114 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Shopify Rebellion Black59c147.64$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0935331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed Shopify Rebellion Black62c144$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3215646.2%72 W · 84 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d88…a5a3backed NRG Academy37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Shopify Rebellion Black61c133.44$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed NRG Academy27c130.6$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.469722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Shopify Rebellion Black62c130$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.443059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed NRG Academy41c128.01$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9115038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17d…2134backed Shopify Rebellion Black64c117.92$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.451457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed NRG Academy43c116$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.885032%16 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Shopify Rebellion Black63c111.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8925453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed NRG Academy42c106.29$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4723745.1%107 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed NRG Academy26c105.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Shopify Rebellion Black67c105.14$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2722344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42dd…5d2bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black62c102.88$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.094537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed NRG Academy39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013243.2%57 W · 75 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked NRG Academy41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.652050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked NRG Academy41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.555348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed NRG Academy41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7579650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked NRG Academy23c99.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0855637.6%209 W · 347 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Shopify Rebellion Black77c85.64$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6422449.1%110 W · 114 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked NRG Academy39c84.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310633%35 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked NRG Academy40c82$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.812955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Shopify Rebellion Black77c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.48839.8%35 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed NRG Academy39c79.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3113933.1%46 W · 93 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed NRG Academy39c79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0110349.5%51 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Shopify Rebellion Black60c72.15$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8615334.6%53 W · 100 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed NRG Academy43c70.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.338145.7%37 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed NRG Academy36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.225146.6%117 W · 134 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422d…7e39backed NRG Academy42c66.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285858.6%34 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked NRG Academy45c66.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked NRG Academy37c65.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3216451.8%85 W · 79 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black60c60$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2415833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed NRG Academy38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8920248.5%98 W · 104 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed NRG Academy31c59.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8349255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Shopify Rebellion Black61c57.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5520553.2%109 W · 96 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e4a…59d9backed NRG Academy39c51.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1710543.8%46 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…74d3backed Shopify Rebellion Black79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.634165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked NRG Academy40c49.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6615842.4%67 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black54c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3290733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked NRG Academy39c35.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-41.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed NRG Academy49c34.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0316041.9%67 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG Academy35c33.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.611,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Shopify Rebellion Black62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2611564.3%74 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Shopify Rebellion Black70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930544.3%135 W · 170 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed NRG Academy36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.866650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed NRG Academy39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Shopify Rebellion Black63c29.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9911637.9%44 W · 72 L-15.5wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.