Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dbcf5779c7b6cd0f61f3b455b148e384fd6e3ebda061c1c18ba5700cf6cac47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REBORNof REBORN, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Misa Esports | 41c | 2,508$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Misa Esports | 35c | 975.25$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.34 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked REBORN | 59c | 867.52$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.68 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed REBORN | 65c | 759.99$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.6 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Misa Esports | 35c | 530.16$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.16 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed REBORN | 65c | 520.62$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.62 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked REBORN | 67c | 501.29$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.08 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Misa Esports | 32c | 401.72$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…77abbacked REBORN | 59c | 372.88$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REBORN | 75c | 366.68$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Misa Esports | 34c | 353.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.23 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Misa Esports | 29c | 353.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…bef4backed REBORN | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Misa Esports | 19c | 329.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x130b…a733backed REBORN | 66c | 308.56$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked REBORN | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Misa Esports | 15c | 290.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked REBORN | 72c | 276.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 109 | 75.2%82 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REBORN | 78c | 257.71$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed REBORN | 59c | 254$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.14 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…23cebacked REBORN | 59c | 252.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked REBORN | 58c | 225$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Misa Esports | 40c | 214$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Misa Esports | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed REBORN | 62c | 174.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked REBORN | 60c | 168.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Misa Esports | 40c | 166.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09f…deffbacked REBORN | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed REBORN | 61c | 156.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed REBORN | 64c | 155.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Misa Esports | 33c | 124.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Misa Esports | 35c | 102.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d88…a5a3backed REBORN | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Misa Esports | 43c | 84.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed REBORN | 65c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed REBORN | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed REBORN | 56c | 74.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 30c | 73.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked REBORN | 58c | 70.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Misa Esports | 33c | 62.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed REBORN | 62c | 61.78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed REBORN | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Misa Esports | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Misa Esports | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed REBORN | 59c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 26c | 50.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed REBORN | 58c | 49.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed REBORN | 58c | 49.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Misa Esports | 29c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Misa Esports | 32c | 45.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Misa Esports | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Misa Esports | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Misa Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0119…1c49backed Misa Esports | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Misa Esports | 35c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -11.5wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -57%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked REBORN | 64c | 31.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…97fcbacked REBORN | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…8202backed REBORN | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…db0ebacked REBORN | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Misa Esports | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Misa Esports | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeae…17c7backed REBORN | 61c | 24.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked REBORN | 61c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Misa Esports | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed REBORN | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d93fbacked REBORN | 59c | 17.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Dthis page
- Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner REBORN won
- Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner REBORN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.