Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe977bd15e2bba6a8dbf29568be1469f90f9e86c07af4c3e6292fe31936b8d37e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REBORNof REBORN, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c0…e618backed REBORN | 62c | 5,072$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.72 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…2378backed Misa Esports | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Misa Esports | 45c | 905.72$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.94 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed REBORN | 55c | 902.13$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.96 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Misa Esports | 52c | 795.32$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.43 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Misa Esports | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Misa Esports | 36c | 637.56$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.52 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REBORN | 62c | 458.59$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.29 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Misa Esports | 38c | 413.42$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Misa Esports | 38c | 353.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.33 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed REBORN | 73c | 306.33$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Misa Esports | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Misa Esports | 38c | 257$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Misa Esports | 33c | 219.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…5699backed REBORN | 72c | 200.07$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked REBORN | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…6fa3backed REBORN | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked REBORN | 53c | 196.03$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 43c | 170.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Misa Esports | 46c | 142.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Misa Esports | 34c | 141.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Misa Esports | 38c | 134.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Misa Esports | 32c | 128.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Misa Esports | 51c | 127.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REBORN | 68c | 126.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Misa Esports | 33c | 124.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 25c | 123.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Misa Esports | 37c | 104.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed REBORN | 70c | 96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Misa Esports | 53c | 94.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked REBORN | 52c | 92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Misa Esports | 29c | 83.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Misa Esports | 21c | 83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Misa Esports | 14c | 75.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…e324backed Misa Esports | 38c | 60.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Misa Esports | 50c | 59.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Misa Esports | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Misa Esports | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…fcc2backed Misa Esports | 39c | 48.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Misa Esports | 34c | 40.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Misa Esports | 38c | 40.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked REBORN | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Misa Esports | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Misa Esports | 36c | 37.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…eb96backed Misa Esports | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff97…7350backed REBORN | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group D REBORN won
- Valorant: REBORN vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner REBORN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.