Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Misa Esports vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bacb4a61593ef014ad5b0183c928ff5824136224b73d48e4c0ef05be9a8c537
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof Misa Esports, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Misa Esports | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.99 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Misa Esports | 15c | 1,466$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.84 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed FOKUS | 53c | 836.79$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.29 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FOKUS | 75c | 600$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.18 | 604 | 54%326 W · 278 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed FOKUS | 53c | 586.79$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.79 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FOKUS | 80c | 555.64$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FOKUS | 55c | 499.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…77abbacked Misa Esports | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed FOKUS | 53c | 291$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.77 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed FOKUS | 53c | 256.91$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 545 | 42.2%230 W · 315 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d88…a5a3backed Misa Esports | 47c | 244.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Misa Esports | 42c | 223.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Misa Esports | 21c | 217.47$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 851 | 38.1%324 W · 527 L | -51.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7faa…02c3backed Misa Esports | 48c | 216.78$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Misa Esports | 21c | 204.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FOKUS | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed FOKUS | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 434 | 59.2%257 W · 177 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Misa Esports | 21c | 195.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 155 | 35.5%55 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FOKUS | 70c | 189.58$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed FOKUS | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb319…7130backed FOKUS | 57c | 173.42$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…cf36backed Misa Esports | 17c | 163.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Misa Esports | 22c | 137.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Misa Esports | 27c | 134.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Misa Esports | 45c | 111.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Misa Esports | 44c | 102.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 391 | 42.5%166 W · 225 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed FOKUS | 52c | 91.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 639 | 48%307 W · 332 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FOKUS | 51c | 89.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked FOKUS | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked FOKUS | 61c | 63.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed FOKUS | 58c | 60.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FOKUS | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Misa Esports | 29c | 51.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed FOKUS | 55c | 43.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed FOKUS | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed FOKUS | 53c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Misa Esports | 45c | 35.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Misa Esports | 48c | 31.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 439 | 43.7%192 W · 247 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3919…b3f3backed FOKUS | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FOKUS | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 969 | 45%436 W · 533 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed FOKUS | 52c | 23.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked FOKUS | 53c | 19.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FOKUS | 53c | 19.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 672 | 50.6%340 W · 332 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FOKUS | 77c | 16.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed FOKUS | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Valorant: Misa Esports vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.