Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Joblife vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3f491ad801d5b2f39467458dd0f5b3533f16d5499797591be89586b9f79d194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joblifeof Joblife, CGN Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65c1…2988backed CGN Esports | 42c | 8,070$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.14 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Joblife | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Joblife | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5a…a421backed Joblife | 60c | 1,691$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed CGN Esports | 29c | 1,265$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.86 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Joblife | 66c | 1,174$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.41 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Joblife | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.04 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked CGN Esports | 26c | 738.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.41 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed CGN Esports | 28c | 627.32$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.04 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed CGN Esports | 40c | 500.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked CGN Esports | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…ef1dbacked CGN Esports | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Joblife | 57c | 427.14$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.94 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Joblife | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…bef4backed Joblife | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked CGN Esports | 12c | 340.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked CGN Esports | 39c | 330.69$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.26 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Joblife | 66c | 327$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked CGN Esports | 6c | 282.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked CGN Esports | 42c | 282$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Joblife | 76c | 262.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 109 | 75.2%82 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Joblife | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed CGN Esports | 18c | 221$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…77abbacked Joblife | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed Joblife | 58c | 198.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked CGN Esports | 43c | 188.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed Joblife | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed Joblife | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09f…deffbacked Joblife | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…fa33backed Joblife | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked CGN Esports | 32c | 167.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed CGN Esports | 19c | 154$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked CGN Esports | 40c | 149.23$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed CGN Esports | 41c | 142.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Joblife | 58c | 136.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked CGN Esports | 34c | 131.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640e…e904backed Joblife | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed CGN Esports | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked CGN Esports | 15c | 114.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Joblife | 66c | 114.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed CGN Esports | 9c | 109.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Joblife | 67c | 107.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed CGN Esports | 37c | 103.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed CGN Esports | 20c | 100.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked CGN Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Joblife | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed CGN Esports | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked CGN Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Joblife | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked CGN Esports | 17c | 97.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Joblife | 69c | 88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d88…a5a3backed Joblife | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed CGN Esports | 43c | 81.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed CGN Esports | 13c | 80.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Joblife | 73c | 78.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked CGN Esports | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed CGN Esports | 39c | 73.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Joblife | 57c | 66.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…0beabacked Joblife | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked CGN Esports | 36c | 61.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91aa…c94abacked CGN Esports | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CGN Esports | 32c | 57.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Joblife | 58c | 56.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Joblife | 58c | 50.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed CGN Esports | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked CGN Esports | 33c | 40.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 164 | 20.1%33 W · 131 L | -20.1wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked CGN Esports | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed CGN Esports | 39c | 38.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CGN Esports | 44c | 36.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…9f57backed Joblife | 60c | 33.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…0e15backed Joblife | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Joblife | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a5…afe7backed Joblife | 59c | 29.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed CGN Esports | 40c | 28.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Joblife | 58c | 26.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Joblife | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Joblife | 58c | 25.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed CGN Esports | 43c | 24.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Joblife | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Joblife | 65c | 17.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Joblife vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Bthis page
- Map Handicap: JL (-1.5) vs CGN Esports (+1.5)Joblife won
- Valorant: Joblife vs CGN Esports - Map 1 WinnerJoblife won
- Valorant: Joblife vs CGN Esports - Map 2 WinnerJoblife won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.