Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77bbd76e8e868b666e0e901b3c33b3327e8607312ad5b0b331831d95e5bdc46d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIRof UCAM Esports Club, MIR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed UCAM Esports Club | 75c | 1,000$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.25 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed UCAM Esports Club | 63c | 977.21$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.19 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed MIR | 26c | 890.75$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MIR | 41c | 857$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.27 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed UCAM Esports Club | 58c | 852.77$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.46 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MIR | 24c | 638.55$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.39 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MIR | 28c | 638.03$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.67 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIR | 38c | 636.25$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.53 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked MIR | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MIR | 27c | 400.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.64 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed UCAM Esports Club | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed UCAM Esports Club | 73c | 327.93$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.77 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed UCAM Esports Club | 66c | 308.88$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.28 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…df38backed MIR | 22c | 293.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.21 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…5699backed UCAM Esports Club | 68c | 293.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked UCAM Esports Club | 78c | 281.88$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.87 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…6bfbbacked MIR | 20c | 254$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +170.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MIR | 34c | 231.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.55 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed MIR | 21c | 229.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.68 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 73c | 201$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MIR | 27c | 200$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.86 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed UCAM Esports Club | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed MIR | 23c | 187.74$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed UCAM Esports Club | 79c | 187.17$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked UCAM Esports Club | 60c | 173.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed MIR | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked UCAM Esports Club | 78c | 149.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.73 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed UCAM Esports Club | 32c | 139.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked MIR | 22c | 137$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.94 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed UCAM Esports Club | 67c | 135.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed MIR | 25c | 122.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MIR | 15c | 110.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked UCAM Esports Club | 75c | 105.2$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed MIR | 32c | 80.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed UCAM Esports Club | 70c | 65.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed MIR | 35c | 62.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed MIR | 34c | 59.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 59c | 54.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MIR | 35c | 53.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed UCAM Esports Club | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed MIR | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked MIR | 29c | 44.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed MIR | 23c | 44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MIR | 35c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed MIR | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked UCAM Esports Club | 79c | 37.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UCAM Esports Club | 79c | 36.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked UCAM Esports Club | 77c | 36.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…b08fbacked MIR | 47c | 36.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed MIR | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…4fd0backed UCAM Esports Club | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed UCAM Esports Club | 65c | 29.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed MIR | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed UCAM Esports Club | 78c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 80c | 24.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…bf1bbacked UCAM Esports Club | 80c | 23.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked UCAM Esports Club | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed UCAM Esports Club | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed UCAM Esports Club | 73c | 15.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked UCAM Esports Club | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed UCAM Esports Club | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e3…5652backed UCAM Esports Club | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed MIR | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked UCAM Esports Club | 80c | 13.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Cthis page
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: UCAM Esports Club (-3.5) vs MIR (+3.5)MIR won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: UCAM Esports Club (-3.5) vs MIR (+3.5)MIR won
- Map Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs MIR (+1.5)MIR won
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs MIR - Map 1 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
- Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs MIR - Map 2 WinnerMIR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.