Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0be594edd73ef284d080d5a96e494c02830a4546f61c23094a7563eacd5a8838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FunPlus Phoenixof FunPlus Phoenix, Trace Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2775…3652backed FunPlus Phoenix | 62c | 2,926$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.4 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FunPlus Phoenix | 61c | 1,598$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.43 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Trace Esports | 26c | 1,453$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.89 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed FunPlus Phoenix | 53c | 1,428$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.27 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 1,230$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.38 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Trace Esports | 2c | 1,119$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 57c | 974.65$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.54 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed FunPlus Phoenix | 60c | 941.93$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.71 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FunPlus Phoenix | 59c | 899.99$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.23 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed FunPlus Phoenix | 60c | 474$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.14 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Trace Esports | 19c | 420$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Trace Esports | 21c | 392.32$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed FunPlus Phoenix | 53c | 345.35$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 56c | 330$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.69 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed FunPlus Phoenix | 56c | 295.85$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.18 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Trace Esports | 5c | 290$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Trace Esports | 42c | 270.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked Trace Esports | 55c | 257.04$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Trace Esports | 36c | 254.83$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Trace Esports | 43c | 250.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Trace Esports | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f1…907dbacked Trace Esports | 45c | 231.39$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Trace Esports | 46c | 227.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Trace Esports | 39c | 216.05$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Trace Esports | 38c | 169.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Trace Esports | 7c | 162.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Trace Esports | 33c | 162$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Trace Esports | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Trace Esports | 45c | 135.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Trace Esports | 54c | 133.7$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Trace Esports | 16c | 132.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Trace Esports | 42c | 130.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Trace Esports | 8c | 126.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Trace Esports | 22c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Trace Esports | 16c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed FunPlus Phoenix | 55c | 104.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…6bfbbacked Trace Esports | 35c | 103.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +170.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Trace Esports | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Trace Esports | 14c | 84.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed FunPlus Phoenix | 61c | 83.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…a87fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Trace Esports | 38c | 79.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…81d1backed FunPlus Phoenix | 56c | 71.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa37c…1910backed FunPlus Phoenix | 74c | 68.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed FunPlus Phoenix | 55c | 61.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Trace Esports | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Trace Esports | 47c | 58.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Trace Esports | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed FunPlus Phoenix | 51c | 44.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Trace Esports | 37c | 43.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 61c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Trace Esports | 40c | 41.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Trace Esports | 33c | 40.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 67c | 40.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…a638backed Trace Esports | 44c | 34.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Trace Esports | 37c | 30.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x615a…8af2backed FunPlus Phoenix | 54c | 29.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 52c | 28.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ba…a3d6backed FunPlus Phoenix | 57c | 25.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1ecbbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 50c | 25.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…ed1cbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 60c | 19.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4f…07c2backed FunPlus Phoenix | 73c | 16.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…1e6fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 67c | 15.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Trace Esports (-2.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+2.5)FunPlus Phoenix won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group AlphaFunPlus Phoenix won
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports - Map 1 WinnerFunPlus Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.