Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6617b76bf6a918f27fc97061bda3c08ca0e95c569dad184a0ba4b4b49e38669b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FunPlus Phoenixof FunPlus Phoenix, Trace Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 71c | 4,264$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.87 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Trace Esports | 51c | 1,093$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.94 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Trace Esports | 45c | 708.05$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed FunPlus Phoenix | 57c | 484.94$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.05 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 47c | 335.13$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.98 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Trace Esports | 37c | 327.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Trace Esports | 43c | 310$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 225 | 39.1%88 W · 137 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Trace Esports | 24c | 274$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Trace Esports | 49c | 271.09$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FunPlus Phoenix | 51c | 225.1$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.67 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed Trace Esports | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Trace Esports | 37c | 202$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 70c | 160.24$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trace Esports | 42c | 154$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Trace Esports | 52c | 147.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed FunPlus Phoenix | 48c | 146.93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Trace Esports | 43c | 131.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FunPlus Phoenix | 43c | 100.01$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Trace Esports | 43c | 99.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Trace Esports | 61c | 81.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Trace Esports | 42c | 71.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 68c | 69.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed FunPlus Phoenix | 68c | 64.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Trace Esports | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 93 | 14%13 W · 80 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed FunPlus Phoenix | 58c | 48.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…ef60backed Trace Esports | 32c | 42.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed FunPlus Phoenix | 35c | 41.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…a87fbacked Trace Esports | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Trace Esports | 42c | 34.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Trace Esports | 58c | 34.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e83…81d1backed Trace Esports | 49c | 34.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a1…bfa6backed FunPlus Phoenix | 68c | 19.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked FunPlus Phoenix | 55c | 19.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Trace Esports (-2.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+2.5)FunPlus Phoenix won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group AlphaFunPlus Phoenix won
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Trace Esports - Map 2 WinnerFunPlus Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.