CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs JiJieHao (BO3) - XPortal Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x169d3b7193303b15ac7fd0e9499be66ac0e9f9c7dc412f26fec8fc76677728da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Atreides, JiJieHao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked JiJieHao | 49c | 4,373$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150.64 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed JiJieHao | 65c | 1,702$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.22 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed JiJieHao | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed JiJieHao | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Atreides | 20c | 1,455$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.3 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Atreides | 19c | 1,312$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.14 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 28c | 1,291$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.86 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Atreides | 24c | 1,018$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.17 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed JiJieHao | 43c | 1,013$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.05 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed JiJieHao | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Atreides | 52c | 700$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Atreides | 48c | 572$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.97 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Atreides | 48c | 517.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.98 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Atreides | 55c | 451.71$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.39 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked JiJieHao | 35c | 432.81$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.34 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Atreides | 34c | 380.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.61 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Atreides | 54c | 340$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.6 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…dbf7backed Atreides | 64c | 313.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.26 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Atreides | 52c | 309$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.3 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Atreides | 55c | 300.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Atreides | 51c | 297.84$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.07 | 317 | 41.3%131 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Atreides | 51c | 296.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.31 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 39c | 288.44$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.83 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked JiJieHao | 44c | 256.69$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Atreides | 56c | 252.45$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.69 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Atreides | 45c | 244.9$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Atreides | 60c | 213$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Atreides | 52c | 202.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Atreides | 30c | 200.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.01 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 44c | 194.53$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atreides | 56c | 182.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Atreides | 52c | 181$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 294 | 40.5%119 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Atreides | 56c | 174.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Atreides | 50c | 166.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Atreides | 47c | 164.6$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Atreides | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Atreides | 32c | 157.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed Atreides | 20c | 133.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Atreides | 50c | 115$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed Atreides | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…6bfbbacked Atreides | 50c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed JiJieHao | 46c | 73.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Atreides | 20c | 60$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked JiJieHao | 43c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Atreides | 52c | 51.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Atreides | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Atreides | 53c | 45.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 815 | 51.7%421 W · 394 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…969fbacked JiJieHao | 47c | 31.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…a298backed Atreides | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed JiJieHao | 50c | 20.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs JiJieHao (BO3) - XPortal Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs JiJieHao - Map 1 WinnerAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs JiJieHao - Map 2 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.