CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs JiJieHao - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x018513b0e17a41890a093cdd2164348c5c88d76922568d3e94fc4cc86ae056be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Atreides, JiJieHao
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x196b…4151backed JiJieHao | 2c | 2,375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked JiJieHao | 14c | 1,992$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.71 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed JiJieHao | 1c | 1,330$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed JiJieHao | 5c | 1,198$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked JiJieHao | 62c | 1,013$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.62 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x527d…3d71backed JiJieHao | 55c | 606.23$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Atreides | 36c | 600$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed JiJieHao | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 44c | 342.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Atreides | 45c | 216$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed JiJieHao | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed JiJieHao | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed JiJieHao | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed JiJieHao | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked JiJieHao | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed JiJieHao | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Atreides | 55c | 177.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.52 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked JiJieHao | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed JiJieHao | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed JiJieHao | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Atreides | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Atreides | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Atreides | 43c | 79.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed JiJieHao | 25c | 63.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Atreides | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs JiJieHao - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs JiJieHao (BO3) - XPortal PlayoffsAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs JiJieHao - Map 1 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.