Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x854cdb9fb9c6bb774462b0454b756dd6dbdf4dd74455d24d38375583872f1722
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Habibisof Habibis, summer bear
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Habibis | 54c | 12,486$6,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,786.7 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed summer bear | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Habibis | 28c | 2,056$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Habibis | 67c | 1,666$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.36 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed summer bear | 15c | 1,609$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.88 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked summer bear | 47c | 1,523$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.38 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Habibis | 66c | 1,480$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.43 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked summer bear | 72c | 1,442$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.45 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed summer bear | 68c | 1,187$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.43 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Habibis | 39c | 1,026$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.28 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…9d03backed summer bear | 64c | 864.13$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Habibis | 57c | 845.38$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.01 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Habibis | 32c | 835.64$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.69 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked summer bear | 59c | 831.55$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.3 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Habibis | 34c | 817.95$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.1 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed summer bear | 23c | 802.13$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.65 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed summer bear | 65c | 760.56$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.55 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Habibis | 36c | 747.42$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.64 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked summer bear | 72c | 728.5$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.24 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed summer bear | 61c | 690.35$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.14 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Habibis | 23c | 669.4$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.74 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Habibis | 24c | 620.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.86 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Habibis | 45c | 553.54$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.76 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked summer bear | 71c | 547.4$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.36 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked summer bear | 62c | 527$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.18 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed summer bear | 64c | 522.48$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.66 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed summer bear | 57c | 520.91$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.92 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Habibis | 33c | 498.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.32 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed summer bear | 76c | 463.26$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.79 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked summer bear | 49c | 461.06$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.21 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Habibis | 27c | 445.61$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.22 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed summer bear | 70c | 444.54$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.14 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Habibis | 43c | 443.25$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Habibis | 23c | 403.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.75 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked summer bear | 71c | 399.99$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.99 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed summer bear | 29c | 399.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 106 | 62.3%66 W · 40 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Habibis | 23c | 397.68$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.75 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Habibis | 16c | 377.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.66 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Habibis | 28c | 375$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.38 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked summer bear | 70c | 371.47$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.74 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked summer bear | 74c | 353.37$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.47 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Habibis | 26c | 335.01$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.29 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed summer bear | 66c | 325.79$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.23 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…13dabacked Habibis | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed summer bear | 67c | 299.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…fcdfbacked summer bear | 75c | 267.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked summer bear | 65c | 259.05$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.93 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Habibis | 34c | 245$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Habibis | 39c | 243.14$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.94 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked summer bear | 71c | 242.15$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.95 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed summer bear | 69c | 238.93$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 139 | 75.5%105 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a30…34b1backed summer bear | 67c | 235.72$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Habibis | 41c | 234.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed Habibis | 75c | 225.22$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…6929backed summer bear | 75c | 221.81$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.79 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Habibis | 32c | 215$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Habibis | 14c | 208.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.63 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Habibis | 13c | 207.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.88 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Habibis | 33c | 204$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed summer bear | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked summer bear | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed summer bear | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Habibis | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed summer bear | 29c | 199.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…bcf8backed summer bear | 77c | 198.76$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.05 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked summer bear | 67c | 191.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.46 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…e69abacked Habibis | 26c | 172.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +283.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked summer bear | 64c | 168.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.11 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed summer bear | 60c | 166.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Habibis | 33c | 166.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Habibis | 19c | 162$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked summer bear | 68c | 160$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8569…2267backed Habibis | 74c | 159.75$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed summer bear | 75c | 156$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked summer bear | 61c | 154.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked summer bear | 64c | 149.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed summer bear | 70c | 149.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d33…28f8backed Habibis | 31c | 142.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Habibis | 31c | 133.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…2a8ebacked summer bear | 61c | 133.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked summer bear | 67c | 128.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Habibis | 36c | 122.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Habibis | 31c | 116$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4b…a0c7backed summer bear | 66c | 115$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Habibis | 31c | 112.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Habibis | 21c | 111.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed summer bear | 71c | 110.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Habibis | 18c | 109.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.64 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Habibis | 23c | 104.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Habibis | 25c | 103$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed summer bear | 59c | 101$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Habibis | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed summer bear | 72c | 97.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…daa2backed summer bear | 71c | 91.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 54cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe244…bc40backed summer bear | 62c | 91.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Habibis | 32c | 90.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Habibis | 22c | 85.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked summer bear | 56c | 85.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…5696backed Habibis | 77c | 80.94$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…de14backed Habibis | 44c | 77.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear - Game 1 Winnersummer bear won
- Dota 2: Habibis vs summer bear - Game 2 WinnerHabibis won
- Game Handicap: SB (-1.5) vs Habibis (+1.5)Habibis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.