Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a7d40ca209b2043c93d515e085d019ed8a413161f0d6cc0624519823781099f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nightblood Gamingof Nightblood Gaming, SaD Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0159…db47backed SaD Esports | 43c | 13,053$5,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,575.85 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nightblood Gaming | 26c | 3,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.71 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 58c | 2,554$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.06 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Nightblood Gaming | 25c | 2,497$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.41 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nightblood Gaming | 61c | 1,221$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.23 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Nightblood Gaming | 29c | 1,047$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.85 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nightblood Gaming | 71c | 812.33$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Nightblood Gaming | 71c | 795.43$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.43 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Nightblood Gaming | 69c | 660.06$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.67 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked SaD Esports | 71c | 622.37$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed SaD Esports | 78c | 575.13$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -11.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Nightblood Gaming | 22c | 504.68$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.65 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Nightblood Gaming | 80c | 479.93$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nightblood Gaming | 14c | 456.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.95 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SaD Esports | 10c | 443.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 77c | 428.17$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nightblood Gaming | 70c | 420.12$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.71 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SaD Esports | 33c | 384.31$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5480…b38cbacked SaD Esports | 74c | 327$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b5…be4bbacked Nightblood Gaming | 32c | 313.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec04…1bcebacked SaD Esports | 74c | 277.03$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed SaD Esports | 34c | 261.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…6fa3backed Nightblood Gaming | 44c | 250.57$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Nightblood Gaming | 30c | 243.46$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.42 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…6bfbbacked Nightblood Gaming | 25c | 232$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +170.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 17c | 228$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.76 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SaD Esports | 71c | 227$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed SaD Esports | 45c | 223.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed SaD Esports | 71c | 202.46$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SaD Esports | 72c | 200.65$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.47 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nightblood Gaming | 80c | 199.04$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed SaD Esports | 74c | 186.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed SaD Esports | 27c | 185.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nightblood Gaming | 41c | 184.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…77abbacked Nightblood Gaming | 27c | 183.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.96 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked SaD Esports | 66c | 152.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed SaD Esports | 54c | 152.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 186 | 47.8%89 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked SaD Esports | 67c | 150$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed SaD Esports | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SaD Esports | 30c | 149.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SaD Esports | 74c | 148.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.79 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Nightblood Gaming | 27c | 148.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.95 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 27c | 142.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Nightblood Gaming | 23c | 140$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SaD Esports | 22c | 136.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Nightblood Gaming | 23c | 135$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SaD Esports | 33c | 134.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed SaD Esports | 72c | 130.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 223 | 44.4%99 W · 124 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Nightblood Gaming | 27c | 125.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked SaD Esports | 73c | 119.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Nightblood Gaming | 52c | 119.93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SaD Esports | 61c | 117$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d33…28f8backed Nightblood Gaming | 29c | 112.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Nightblood Gaming | 31c | 111$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.19 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SaD Esports | 60c | 101.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Nightblood Gaming | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Nightblood Gaming | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…6da8backed SaD Esports | 74c | 95.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SaD Esports | 26c | 89.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 20c | 87.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Nightblood Gaming | 28c | 86.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nightblood Gaming | 40c | 83.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.26 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…0105backed SaD Esports | 71c | 75.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed SaD Esports | 74c | 75.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SaD Esports | 46c | 74.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Nightblood Gaming | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa199…b5b0backed SaD Esports | 74c | 70.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Nightblood Gaming | 68c | 70.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Nightblood Gaming | 37c | 69.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e3…4971backed Nightblood Gaming | 18c | 65.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Nightblood Gaming | 25c | 65.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed SaD Esports | 78c | 64.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked SaD Esports | 26c | 62.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked SaD Esports | 54c | 61.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked SaD Esports | 74c | 52.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed SaD Esports | 76c | 52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…b4b0backed Nightblood Gaming | 27c | 43.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Nightblood Gaming | 27c | 41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked SaD Esports | 64c | 39.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…446dbacked SaD Esports | 30c | 38.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Nightblood Gaming | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Nightblood Gaming | 38c | 37.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Nightblood Gaming | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 158 | 33.5%53 W · 105 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Nightblood Gaming | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked SaD Esports | 40c | 25.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed SaD Esports | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…7510backed SaD Esports | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked SaD Esports | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed SaD Esports | 73c | 24.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Nightblood Gaming | 61c | 24.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked SaD Esports | 73c | 24.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Nightblood Gaming | 67c | 22.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked SaD Esports | 64c | 22.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…78e4backed SaD Esports | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Nightblood Gaming | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 345 | 71%245 W · 100 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…8d00backed Nightblood Gaming | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed SaD Esports | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…755fbacked SaD Esports | 72c | 17.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs SaD Esports - Map 1 WinnerSaD Esports won
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs SaD Esports - Map 2 WinnerNightblood Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.