Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Hive vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe293e81bed40e83d46151fb2559773e4495b8d0d2d6ece14ae127a9f94688997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hiveof Hive, Spirit Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Spirit Academy | 31c | 8,840$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.24 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Hive | 48c | 3,366$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.12 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 3,292$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.01 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Hive | 70c | 2,900$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.27 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Spirit Academy | 62c | 1,669$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.27 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Hive | 71c | 1,355$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.27 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Hive | 45c | 1,285$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.58 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Spirit Academy | 38c | 1,214$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.37 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hive | 66c | 1,055$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Hive | 57c | 925.71$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.92 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hive | 51c | 923.86$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.63 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Hive | 71c | 879.1$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.1 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Spirit Academy | 3c | 714.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Spirit Academy | 39c | 628.33$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.17 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f928backed Hive | 59c | 499.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Spirit Academy | 53c | 499.62$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.44 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…528ebacked Hive | 51c | 484.29$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit Academy | 38c | 473.07$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.97 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Spirit Academy | 33c | 455.97$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Spirit Academy | 50c | 397.87$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 207 | 38.6%80 W · 127 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Hive | 41c | 385$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.22 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Spirit Academy | 59c | 370$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Hive | 68c | 359.56$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.47 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Hive | 56c | 351.66$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…d72ebacked Spirit Academy | 34c | 346.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.56 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Hive | 68c | 333.95$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.67 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Spirit Academy | 49c | 329.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.41 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Hive | 67c | 328.31$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Hive | 75c | 320.77$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Spirit Academy | 6c | 315.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…7645backed Spirit Academy | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Hive | 67c | 287.89$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Hive | 67c | 286.83$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…de14backed Hive | 74c | 281.6$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hive | 63c | 259.06$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Spirit Academy | 33c | 250$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.19 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Hive | 67c | 245.28$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…6bfbbacked Hive | 37c | 245$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hive | 48c | 216.34$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…5d93backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 213.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -75%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Hive | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…1c5bbacked Spirit Academy | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hive | 59c | 186.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Spirit Academy | 41c | 182.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spirit Academy | 35c | 175.73$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…68d2backed Hive | 44c | 175.34$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Hive | 59c | 170.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Hive | 74c | 166.3$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Spirit Academy | 37c | 164.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5d…7501backed Spirit Academy | 30c | 164.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Hive | 51c | 163.26$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Spirit Academy | 23c | 159.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Spirit Academy | 24c | 151.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Hive | 46c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 150$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.74 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Hive | 62c | 147.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Spirit Academy | 40c | 138.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed Hive | 73c | 134.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Hive | 69c | 126.13$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Hive | 47c | 125.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 123.58$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Spirit Academy | 46c | 110.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…09dcbacked Spirit Academy | 41c | 108.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Hive | 54c | 104.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Hive | 69c | 104.5$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Spirit Academy | 45c | 103.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…19f8backed Hive | 74c | 101.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Spirit Academy | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d5…4bd3backed Hive | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 25 | 96%24 W · 1 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 73cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Hive | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Hive | 57c | 99.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Hive | 62c | 91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…cc42backed Spirit Academy | 27c | 90.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Spirit Academy | 39c | 90.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spirit Academy | 17c | 85.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Spirit Academy | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Spirit Academy | 56c | 82.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…dcd0backed Hive | 51c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4e…8e54backed Hive | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 63 | 77.8%49 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Hive | 61c | 74.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spirit Academy | 35c | 74.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Hive | 60c | 71.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Hive | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hive | 71c | 70.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…75debacked Hive | 58c | 69.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Hive | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed Hive | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Hive | 25c | 65.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.31 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Spirit Academy | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Spirit Academy | 21c | 52.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…7b62backed Spirit Academy | 47c | 51.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Spirit Academy | 59c | 51.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Hive | 61c | 50.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Hive | 41c | 49.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Hive | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Hive | 47c | 41.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Spirit Academy | 27c | 39.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…d4fbbacked Spirit Academy | 34c | 39.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Spirit Academy | 51c | 35.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Hive vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Hive vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 WinnerHive won
- Dota 2: Hive vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 WinnerSpirit Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.