MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6114f7db7f4c99210db8e54bc52a0aec1ef1fa7f15cddb6e302f6c2951b8b48d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $654,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $669,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $654,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 133,333$65,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,333.16 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Houston Astros | 51c | 75,000$38,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,750 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Houston Astros | 52c | 51,551$27,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,493.87 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Houston Astros | 51c | 45,000$22,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,050 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 44,444$24,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,444.44 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 41,814$25,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,133 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 35,850$18,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,038.04 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 45c | 31,375$14,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,333.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 27,309$13,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,108.11 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 21,400$8,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000.65 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 51c | 20,995$10,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,364.29 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 47c | 19,339$9,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,180.41 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Houston Astros | 27c | 18,180$4,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,186.24 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 51c | 15,249$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,472.02 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 14,651$6,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,885.95 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 10,334$6,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,910.09 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Houston Astros | 43c | 9,929$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,702.77 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 5,556$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.56 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 5,428$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.62 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Houston Astros | 28c | 5,311$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.37 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Houston Astros | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.99 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 4,500$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 4,444$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.44 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 4,227$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.08 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 3,870$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 36c | 3,804$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.07 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 47c | 3,599$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.06 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Houston Astros | 48c | 3,400$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.33 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 63c | 3,302$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.37 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Houston Astros | 22c | 3,281$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.61 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked Houston Astros | 31c | 3,236$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.11 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 75c | 3,144$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Houston Astros | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 50c | 2,952$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.64 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 2,872$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.84 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Houston Astros | 51c | 2,615$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.35 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 45c | 2,481$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Detroit Tigers | 75c | 2,278$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.31 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Houston Astros | 51c | 2,148$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.64 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…0f92backed Detroit Tigers | 2c | 1,980$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…04f6backed Houston Astros | 26c | 1,963$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.2 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,883$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.04 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Detroit Tigers | 76c | 1,727$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.58 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.14 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Houston Astros | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.63 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 1,523$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.42 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Detroit Tigers | 79c | 1,401$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.08 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.02 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Houston Astros | 51c | 1,397$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.54 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 59c | 1,364$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.08 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Detroit Tigers | 78c | 1,286$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.5 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 1,117$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.31 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.06 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 47c | 1,062$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.57 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Houston Astros | 27c | 1,059$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.97 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Houston Astros | 51c | 1,052$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.87 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Houston Astros | 39c | 1,012$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.67 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 1,004$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.86 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc7…389dbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 999.86$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.98 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Houston Astros | 36c | 992.39$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.6 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Houston Astros | 46c | 941.31$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.28 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 888.8$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.84 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros | 47c | 857$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.21 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Detroit Tigers | 12c | 815.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Houston Astros | 52c | 799.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Detroit Tigers | 45c | 799.98$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Houston Astros | 52c | 799.96$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.98 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 794$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.06 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Houston Astros | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Houston Astros | 37c | 739.98$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.89 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 732.06$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.23 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 719$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.93 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Houston Astros | 51c | 709.04$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.43 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Houston Astros | 51c | 607.84$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.84 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…0cadbacked Detroit Tigers | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 585.52$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.76 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Detroit Tigers | 5c | 582$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 523.4$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.51 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 517.6$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.62 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Houston Astros | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Houston Astros | 51c | 488.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.66 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Houston Astros | 37c | 473.75$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.5 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Detroit Tigers | 25c | 444.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.22 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Houston Astros | 65c | 419.88$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.51 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 408.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 399.61$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.46 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 393.46$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.1 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Houston Astros | 51c | 392.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 380$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Houston Astros | 43c | 375.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.86 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Detroit Tigers | 24c | 369.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.