TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,049
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,049 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No38c6,785$2,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,571.562,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No77c5,161$3,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,991.5221574.4%160 W · 55 L+45.1wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+49.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No78c5,100$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.1919965.3%130 W · 69 L+27.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes69c4,024$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.391,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked No12c3,863$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.593336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked No26c3,736$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.833447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf436…4591backed Yes76c3,135$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.032147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes69c2,832$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.826663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Yes71c2,570$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No14c2,399$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4724548.6%119 W · 126 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes71c2,010$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.65,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12a9…af78backed Yes22c1,700$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3281100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+357%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa782…cbafbacked Yes22c1,700$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+128.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Yes75c1,534$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.692045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No72c1,380$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.997866.7%52 W · 26 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7494…ee81backed Yes22c1,366$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+355.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd42d…621cbacked Yes22c1,366$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+306.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes75c1,201$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.049652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf926…3fc0backed Yes22c1,125$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+304.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7575…10dabacked Yes22c1,125$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+352.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes16c1,100$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92428532.3%92 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Yes22c1,093$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+127.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Yes69c1,040$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.4514949%73 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked Yes44c939.79$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.93450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No15c891.36$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1596846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No36c779.32$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6114646.6%68 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ac7…907cbacked No16c718.4$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.941233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed Yes26c700$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5181100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed No74c675.22$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.669254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78e5…7d84backed Yes24c659.07$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+318.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x941a…4605backed Yes15c600$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x719d…feaabacked Yes26c599.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes68c563.17$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.0926348.7%128 W · 135 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No13c555.44$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.562,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes75c545.04$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.742462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8eef…e72cbacked Yes26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3702100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8f…3ce9backed Yes26c461.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes71c427.37$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.7318851.6%97 W · 91 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes63c424.55$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6313349.6%66 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x998f…75d1backed Yes76c394.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.612100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No45c339.85$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2989245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No45c297.6$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3270842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed Yes49c297.02$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.624663%29 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes69c290$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.95240.4%21 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes73c288.05$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2925653.5%137 W · 119 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b54…22cfbacked No13c278.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-53.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes53c250.75$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8820638.8%80 W · 126 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed No74c226$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.247357.5%42 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes21c214.57$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.534938.8%19 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…b756backed No50c200.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.482445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No19c198.21$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2326136.8%96 W · 165 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes40c180$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.31,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed Yes75c165.62$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.214942.3%63 W · 86 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No38c161.52$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7856445.4%256 W · 308 L-25.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No74c159.2$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8114745.6%67 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No39c158.01$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4158542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No14c148$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7421854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No24c137.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4584347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes16c125.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.442740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes69c118.84$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.844560%27 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yes20c117.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.128630.2%26 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No31c115.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5392835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae4…1e6abacked Yes20c107.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+389%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddeb…83f3backed No28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Yes60c104.81$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.342661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7934050.9%173 W · 167 L+19.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes76c99.16$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571668.8%11 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick75cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21bb…c5dbbacked Yes69c93$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.05580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+33.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8853…aa3fbacked Yes16c90.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.34425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No35c90.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3277056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No17c79.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.141,64736.2%596 W · 1,051 L-34.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Yes73c78$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes74c73.92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1130548.5%148 W · 157 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1882…1af4backed No26c70.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.48757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27b4…f911backed Yes21c70$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.32231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x497e…2dc2backed Yes29c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+73%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes22c68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.041435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked No38c64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.322352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No22c60.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1724448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes48c60.41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6811861.9%73 W · 45 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a1f…0d9dbacked Yes71c56.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.59560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes69c56.07$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3810454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d17…a671backed Yes37c54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+169.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe850…f826backed Yes69c54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.74633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x665a…7005backed Yes22c53.09$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…db44backed No78c49.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.99666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes69c49.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9913654.4%74 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes57c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0611952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes75c37.55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.556765.7%44 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No68c31.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.591,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x270b…2bafbacked No79c25.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.161656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes75c20.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.251770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee02…ce88backed No70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.941080%8 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No66c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1844152.4%231 W · 210 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No71c19.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5982053.8%441 W · 379 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Yes74c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.1613666.2%90 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.