Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Xi Luo vs Jiayu Xu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e8f20ceaa8dae9ccb59e1a9cf2fa85cb2339c0f9f784d7b94c51fb5100506c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jiayu Xuof Xi Luo, Jiayu Xu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c67…8748backed Xi Luo | 6c | 10,427$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…a45dbacked Xi Luo | 5c | 5,568$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +190.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…98bbbacked Xi Luo | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Xi Luo | 4c | 4,655$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 10cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Jiayu Xu | 78c | 3,869$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.72 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…bf0ebacked Xi Luo | 55c | 2,530$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.19 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8f…3ce9backed Xi Luo | 13c | 2,200$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +184.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…9e2dbacked Xi Luo | 13c | 2,200$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +161%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…440fbacked Xi Luo | 13c | 2,200$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7429…c621backed Xi Luo | 21c | 1,217$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Xi Luo | 4c | 1,020$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 8cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Xi Luo | 3c | 1,020$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +209.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xi Luo | 74c | 906.78$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.02 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd393…0668backed Xi Luo | 6c | 899.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Xi Luo | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Xi Luo | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Xi Luo | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Xi Luo | 21c | 787$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.47 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jiayu Xu | 26c | 770.45$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.52 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990d…e207backed Xi Luo | 14c | 625$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Xi Luo | 23c | 579$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Xi Luo | 23c | 579$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…d10fbacked Xi Luo | 7c | 525.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Xi Luo | 22c | 513$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.73 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Xi Luo | 22c | 513$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.73 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Xi Luo | 21c | 473$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Xi Luo | 21c | 473$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029e…b19cbacked Xi Luo | 21c | 473$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Xi Luo | 21c | 473$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Xi Luo | 21c | 473$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.33 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Xi Luo | 18c | 406$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.86 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2846…267fbacked Xi Luo | 13c | 384.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Jiayu Xu | 39c | 309.68$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.67 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Jiayu Xu | 38c | 262.26$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.92 | 464 | 35.3%164 W · 300 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Xi Luo | 20c | 238.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jiayu Xu | 61c | 221.12$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jiayu Xu | 14c | 138.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.23 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Xi Luo | 10c | 102$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Xi Luo | 37c | 70.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1c…90d2backed Xi Luo | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Xi Luo | 48c | 56.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Jiayu Xu | 44c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xi Luo | 72c | 36.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Xi Luo | 50c | 36.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Xi Luo | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Xi Luo | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Xi Luo | 70c | 18.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Xi Luo | 68c | 18.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.