TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Athletics, San Francisco Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,076,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,203,501

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,076,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4be1…aa70backed Athletics46c283,153$130,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153,102.386653%35 W · 31 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed San Francisco Giants53c108,890$57,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,747.784,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed San Francisco Giants50c74,104$37,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,023.0510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed San Francisco Giants56c35,921$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0002040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed San Francisco Giants55c30,827$16,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,955.091747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc08…a137backed Athletics19c21,885$4,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,665.0131958.6%187 W · 132 L+27.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics47c16,698$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,920.851,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97cb…e4d0backed Athletics45c16,465$7,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,055.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Athletics50c16,181$8,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,084.5311,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed San Francisco Giants59c16,004$9,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,442.6543554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Athletics47c15,491$7,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,144.1395045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Athletics28c14,163$3,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,226.2811548.7%56 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants54c13,465$7,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,276.765,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants54c12,739$6,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,870.743,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants43c11,721$5,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,073.214,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Athletics74c10,673$7,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,816.3179442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics45c10,000$4,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,498.2198149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Francisco Giants66c9,477$6,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,301.522,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed San Francisco Giants54c9,093$4,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,910.1329147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Athletics45c8,862$3,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,874.2223255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…597abacked Athletics18c7,791$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,425.498729.9%26 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Francisco Giants55c6,000$3,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,269.9975248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed San Francisco Giants59c5,654$3,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,310.811,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6193…5b80backed Athletics38c5,398$2,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,323.5223146.8%108 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Francisco Giants55c5,054$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,760.466,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked San Francisco Giants54c5,006$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.2421644.9%97 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked San Francisco Giants60c4,991$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,971.966666.7%44 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Athletics47c4,968$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.318,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed San Francisco Giants47c4,351$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,065.6229948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Athletics11c4,212$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,754.0197050.7%492 W · 478 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Athletics45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9744749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Athletics11c3,990$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,562.776,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Athletics50c3,970$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.686446.9%30 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics16c3,965$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,327.594,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked San Francisco Giants55c3,495$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.252,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked San Francisco Giants1c3,424$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.428762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed San Francisco Giants49c3,366$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.3985645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed San Francisco Giants73c3,026$2,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.042,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59fc…5054backed Athletics59c2,884$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.331353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Athletics54c2,829$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,31460043.3%260 W · 340 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Athletics45c2,556$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.5528042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Athletics24c2,547$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.3312342.3%52 W · 71 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed San Francisco Giants48c2,198$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.463,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Athletics11c2,045$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.8279255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed San Francisco Giants48c2,039$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.611,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked San Francisco Giants13c1,989$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.5136932.8%121 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics12c1,950$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.293,45651.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L+107.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed San Francisco Giants55c1,853$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.151,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked San Francisco Giants61c1,840$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.841,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Athletics11c1,831$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.981,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Athletics11c1,829$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.0573949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics45c1,824$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.621,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked San Francisco Giants56c1,742$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.462740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletics36c1,721$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.6712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Athletics44c1,688$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.31,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Athletics44c1,438$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.3577951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed San Francisco Giants55c1,438$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.62,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed San Francisco Giants43c1,385$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.981,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants77c1,200$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.575,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed San Francisco Giants56c1,147$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.5366050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed San Francisco Giants10c1,105$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.463013.3%4 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick5cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c69…b1debacked San Francisco Giants69c1,100$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Athletics46c1,096$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.161,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Athletics29c1,056$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.6540043%172 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed San Francisco Giants54c1,038$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.5451547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Athletics14c1,024$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.5330529.8%91 W · 214 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55085952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked San Francisco Giants55c1,000$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.381,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed San Francisco Giants1c923$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Athletics11c900$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80117417.2%30 W · 144 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc41…6b74backed Athletics24c848.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.811717.6%3 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51fdbacked San Francisco Giants73c846.67$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.072133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed San Francisco Giants36c839.72$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.1152228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Athletics10c835.26$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.551,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Athletics45c822.64$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.457356.2%41 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Athletics43c772.28$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.536759.1%217 W · 150 L+26.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Athletics68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404656.5%26 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed San Francisco Giants25c738$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.429037.8%34 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed San Francisco Giants10c720.4$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0426762.2%166 W · 101 L+43.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+58%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed San Francisco Giants5c674.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.435852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed San Francisco Giants75c649.01$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.5770744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f98backed San Francisco Giants54c643.39$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.431250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba4…9e2dbacked San Francisco Giants17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Athletics25c600$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44926618.4%49 W · 217 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked Athletics45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33024346.9%114 W · 129 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed San Francisco Giants11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked San Francisco Giants17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+212.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74b6…ec1cbacked Athletics17c588.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7693…470fbacked San Francisco Giants55c549.91$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4521354.5%116 W · 97 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8f…3ce9backed San Francisco Giants17c538.71$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.581513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…9565backed San Francisco Giants56c521.48$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.032828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f0b…ef1dbacked San Francisco Giants58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Athletics45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27523758.6%139 W · 98 L+16.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed San Francisco Giants54c490.5$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.872,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked San Francisco Giants55c460$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25317853.4%95 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Athletics45c444$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.21,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed San Francisco Giants24c423.34$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0954715.9%87 W · 460 L-40.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-44.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked San Francisco Giants54c420$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.82,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Athletics12c419.22$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.5916250.6%82 W · 80 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed San Francisco Giants56c411.38$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8819756.9%112 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.